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In the bustling world of the coffee industry, a fierce neighborhood war is brewing among domestic coffee giants. This battle is not just about market share; it’s about survival for many small-scale franchisees who are caught in the crossfire. The latest report from 36Kr reveals the challenges faced by these entrepreneurs as they navigate the competitive landscape of the domestic coffee market.

The Coffee Boom in China

China’s coffee market has experienced a remarkable boom in recent years, driven by the increasing number of young consumers who are embracing the Western beverage. According to the China Coffee Industry Association, the market size of the coffee industry in China has grown by an average of 15-20% annually in the past decade, reaching an estimated 200 billion yuan in 2021.

This rapid expansion has attracted a plethora of domestic coffee chains, each vying for a piece of the lucrative market. Brands like Luckin Coffee, Manner Coffee, and Starbucks have become household names, but the intense competition has led to a series of challenges for both the big players and their franchisees.

The Neighborhood War

The neighborhood war refers to the aggressive expansion strategy employed by these coffee chains, where they set up stores in close proximity to each other, often within the same block or neighborhood. This tactic is designed to draw customers away from competitors by offering convenience and creating a sense of familiarity.

However, this strategy has also led to a saturation of the market, with some areas witnessing a dozen or more coffee shops within a small radius. This intense competition has put immense pressure on franchisees, who are often left with limited foot traffic and a tough battle to maintain profitability.

Franchisees Struggle for Survival

For many franchisees, the intense competition has become a survival challenge. High rental costs, labor expenses, and the need to invest in marketing and promotions to stay competitive have put a strain on their finances. Moreover, the centralized decision-making process of the coffee chains often leaves franchisees with little room for maneuvering.

In a recent survey conducted by 36Kr, nearly 60% of franchisees reported that they were facing difficulties in maintaining their businesses. Many have resorted to cutting costs, reducing staff hours, or even closing down their outlets to cope with the tough market conditions.

The Role of Technology

While the neighborhood war has been a significant factor in the challenges faced by franchisees, technology has also played a role. Many coffee chains have leveraged technology to streamline operations and improve customer experience, but this has sometimes come at the expense of the franchisees.

For example, some chains have implemented online ordering and delivery services, which can reduce the need for in-store sales and, consequently, the number of customers visiting the physical outlet. This has further eroded the revenue streams of franchisees, who are left to compete with a digital presence that is often more convenient for customers.

The Way Forward

The intense competition in the domestic coffee market is unlikely to subside anytime soon. However, there are steps that both the coffee chains and their franchisees can take to navigate the challenging landscape.

For coffee chains, a more balanced approach to expansion and a greater emphasis on supporting franchisees could help mitigate the negative impact of the neighborhood war. This could involve providing more training and support to franchisees, as well as offering them greater flexibility in their operations.

For franchisees, adapting to the changing market conditions and embracing technology where appropriate could be the key to survival. By focusing on customer experience, developing unique offerings, and leveraging technology to enhance their operations, franchisees can differentiate themselves from the competition and build a sustainable business.

The neighborhood war in the domestic coffee market is a testament to the dynamic nature of the industry. As the battle continues, both the coffee chains and their franchisees will need to be adaptable and strategic to emerge victorious.


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