##韩央行下调今年经济增长预期至2.4%，忧虑内需疲软
**首尔，8月22日** -韩国银行（央行）今日发布《经济展望更新报告》，将韩国今年国内生产总值（GDP）增长预期由5月的2.5%下调至2.4%，并将居民消费价格指数（CPI）涨幅预期下调至2.5%。
央行此举反映了对韩国经济增长前景的谨慎态度。其将今年经济增长预期下调至2.4%，低于政府和经合组织（OECD）的2.6%预期，也低于韩国开发研究院（KDI）和国际货币基金组织（IMF）的2.5%预期。
分析人士认为，央行下调预期主要基于以下因素：
* **第二季度经济增速放缓：**韩国第二季度经济增速（初步核实数据）环比下滑0.2%，显示出经济增长动能不足。
* **内需疲软：**第三季度居民消费等内需指标未见明显改善，表明内需仍处于低迷状态。
此外，央行还将今年居民消费价格指数涨幅预期由2.6%下调至2.5%。央行预计物价上涨势头将持续放缓，CPI平均涨幅将在今年下半年降至2.4%水平。
尽管央行下调了经济增长预期，但其仍维持基准利率在3.5%不变。这表明央行在控制通货膨胀和支持经济增长之间保持平衡。
韩国经济面临着多重挑战，包括全球经济放缓、通货膨胀压力、地缘政治风险等。央行下调经济增长预期，反映出其对这些挑战的担忧。未来，韩国政府和央行需要采取措施，提振内需，促进经济增长，以应对这些挑战。
英语如下：
##Here is the English translation of the provided information:
**Headline:** SouthKorea’s Economy Cools: Central Bank Cuts Growth Forecast to 2.4%
**Keywords:** Bank of Korea, Downgrade, Economic Growth
**Content:**
**Seoul, August 22** – The Bankof Korea (BOK) today released its “Economic Outlook Update,” lowering its forecast for South Korea’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year to2.4% from 2.5% in May. The central bank also revised down its inflation forecast to 2.5% for the consumer price index (CPI).
The move reflects the BOK’s cautious outlookon the Korean economy. The 2.4% growth forecast is lower than the 2.6% projections by the government and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), as well as the 2.5%forecasts by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Analysts attribute the downgrade to several factors:
* **Slowing Economic Growth in Q2:** South Korea’s economy contracted by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter (preliminary data),indicating a lack of growth momentum.
* **Weak Domestic Demand:** Domestic demand indicators, including consumer spending, have not shown significant improvement in the third quarter, suggesting that domestic demand remains sluggish.
Additionally, the BOK lowered its inflation forecast for the year from 2.6% to 2.5%.The central bank expects inflation to continue to moderate, with the average CPI increase falling to 2.4% in the second half of the year.
Despite the downgrade in growth forecasts, the BOK maintained its benchmark interest rate at 3.5%. This suggests a balancing act by the central bank between controlling inflationand supporting economic growth.
The Korean economy faces multiple challenges, including a global economic slowdown, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical risks. The BOK’s lowered growth forecast reflects its concerns about these challenges. Going forward, the South Korean government and the central bank need to take measures to boost domestic demand and promote economic growthto address these challenges.
【来源】https://cn.yna.co.kr/view/ACK20240822001200881?section=economy/index&input=rss
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