中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜近日在接受媒体采访时表示，将维护价格稳定和推动价格温和回升作为重要考量，同时保持政策定力，不大放大收。这一表态释放出中国货币政策在促进价格回升的同时，将坚持稳健的基调，不会采取过度宽松的货币政策。
潘功胜的这一立场与当前中国经济面临的挑战相呼应。数据显示，今年前7个月，全国居民消费价格指数（CPI）仅上涨0.2%，远低于政府工作报告确定的3%左右的预期目标。北京大学国家发展研究院院长黄益平指出，追求温和通胀的重要性应与追求中速增长相提并论，以避免陷入“低通胀陷阱”。
招联首席研究员董希淼认为，居民消费价格指数的低迷反映了经济有效需求不足，总供给与总需求恢复不同步。货币政策的目标之一是推动物价温和上涨，因此“不大放大收”的表态意味着不会通过“大水漫灌”的方式推动价格快速上升。
尽管7月份CPI有所上涨，社会消费品零售总额也有所增加，但制造业生产和投资增速快于消费，经济运行出现分化。潘功胜强调，将进一步提升货币政策效能，引导金融机构加大对重点领域和薄弱环节的信贷支持，满足合理的消费融资需求。
同时，一系列促进消费的政策正在加码，如《国务院关于促进服务消费高质量发展的意见》的出台，以及设备更新和消费品以旧换新力度的加大，汽车以旧换新补贴标准的大幅提升。这些政策有望在中秋和国庆等节日期间进一步释放国内消费潜力。
潘功胜还提到，将研究储备增量政策举措，增强宏观政策协调配合，支持积极的财政政策更好发力见效。黄益平呼吁要理直气壮地采取支持消费增长的财政手段。
综上所述，中国央行行长潘功胜的表态显示，中国货币政策将继续保持稳健，同时采取多种措施促进消费增长，以实现价格稳定和温和回升的目标。
英语如下：
Title: “Central Bank Governor Stresses Unchanged Stance on Prudent Monetary Policy”
Keywords: Stability, Determination, Moderation
Content:
People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Party Secretary and Governor Pan Gongsheng recently stated in an interview with media outlets that maintaining price stability and gently promoting price recovery are crucial considerations. He also vowed to maintain policy resolve and avoid aggressive monetary easing. This statement indicates that China’s monetary policy will continue to maintain a prudent tone while promoting price recovery, without resorting to overly loose monetary policies.
Pan Gongsheng’s stance aligns with the challenges facing China’s economy. Data show that from January to July this year, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by only 0.2%, far below the government’s expected target of around 3% as outlined in the government work report. Huang Yiping, the President of the National Institute of Development Studies at Peking University, pointed out that the importance of pursuing moderate inflation should be comparable to the pursuit of moderate growth to avoid falling into the “low inflation trap.”
Zhao Lian Chief Researcher Ding Ximiao believes that the low CPI reflects insufficient effective demand in the economy, with total supply and demand not recovering in sync. One of the goals of monetary policy is to gently push prices higher, so the statement of not aggressively tightening monetary policy means not using the “flood” approach to rapidly increase prices.
Although the CPI rose in July and the total social consumption retail sales increased, manufacturing production and investment growth outpaced consumption, indicating economic divergence. Pan Gongsheng emphasized that the effectiveness of monetary policy will be further improved, guiding financial institutions to increase credit support for key areas and weak links, meeting reasonable consumer financing needs.
Additionally, a series of policies to stimulate consumption are being stepped up, including the issuance of the Opinions of the State Council on Promoting the High-Quality Development of Service Consumption, as well as increased efforts in equipment updates and second-hand car exchanges, with a significant increase in subsidies for scrapping old vehicles for new ones. These policies are expected to further release domestic consumption potential during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays.
Pan Gongsheng also mentioned that new policy measures will be studied and reserved to enhance macroeconomic policy coordination and support the effective implementation of proactive fiscal policies. Huang Yiping called for bold use of fiscal measures to support consumption growth.
In summary, the stance of People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng shows that China’s monetary policy will continue to maintain prudence while taking various measures to stimulate consumption, aiming to achieve price stability and moderate recovery.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/08-18/10270686.shtml
Views: 1