美国经济不确定性增加 消费者和企业面临压力
据美国《华尔街日报》8月12日报道，美国经济目前正处于软着陆和衰退之间的摇摆状态，这种不确定性正给消费者和企业带来压力。文章指出，尽管近期美国经济显示出一些向好的迹象，例如通胀有所回落、就业率保持高位以及经济增长稳定，但近期的一些事件使得人们对经济前景的看法变得不那么乐观。
文章提到，一些经济学家认为经济衰退的可能性有所上升，而另一些经济学家则认为美联储需要采取更为迅速的降息措施以避免经济衰退。这种不确定性使得消费者和企业在进行开支决策和规划时感到困难，可能会影响他们的消费和企业成本削减计划。
此外，文章还举例说明了美国一些知名企业的业绩下滑，如迪士尼表示主题公园业务收入下降，部分原因是需求疲软，而其他公司如Airbnb、麦当劳和Trex公司也发出了消费需求减弱的信号。文章指出，消费者支出在美国经济中占比约三分之二，因此当消费者减少开支时，对企业的影响可能会是深远的。
文章还提到，密歇根大学消费者调查主管Joanne Hsu表示，尽管消费者信心有所回升，但仍谨慎，尤其是对于低收入人群。而Piper Sandler的首席全球经济学家南希·拉扎尔(Nancy Lazar)则指出，中等收入消费者的信心处于衰退区域，高端消费者也开始受到影响。
普通美国民众也对经济不确定性感到担忧，如亚伦·阿里斯门迪(Aaron Arizmendi)，他是一位在私立高中教西班牙语的老师，因担心高物价侵蚀积蓄，他放弃了更换车辆的计划，并对支出保持谨慎。
总体来看，美国经济的不确定性正在增加，消费者和企业都在努力应对可能的经济衰退。这不仅影响了企业的业绩和股价，也让普通民众在消费时更加谨慎。未来，美国经济的走向将继续受到全球关注。
英语如下：
News Title: “U.S. Economy Vibrates Between Soft Landing and Recession as Tensions Rise”
Keywords: Vibration, Recession, Pressure
News Content:
The U.S. economy is currently in a state of flux between a soft landing and a recession, with increased uncertainty putting pressure on consumers and businesses, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal on August 12. The article points out that while recent economic indicators in the U.S. have shown signs of improvement, such as a decline in inflation, high employment rates, and stable economic growth, recent events have cast a less optimistic outlook on the economic future.
Some economists believe the likelihood of a recession has increased, while others argue that the Federal Reserve needs to implement more aggressive rate cuts to avoid a recession. This uncertainty makes it difficult for consumers and businesses to make spending decisions and plan, potentially affecting their spending and cost-cutting strategies.
The article also provides examples of declining performance among some well-known U.S. companies, such as Disney reporting a drop in theme park business revenue, partly due to weak demand. Other companies like Airbnb, McDonald’s, and Trex have also signaled a weakening in consumer demand. It is noted that consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of the U.S. economy, so when consumers cut back on spending, the impact on businesses could be profound.
Joanne Hsu, the director of the Consumer Survey at the University of Michigan, mentioned that while consumer confidence has been on the rise, it remains cautious, especially among lower-income groups. Nancy Lazar, the chief global economist at Piper Sandler, noted that the confidence of middle-income consumers is in a recessionary zone, and even high-end consumers are starting to feel the effects.
Average American citizens are also concerned about the economic uncertainty, such as Aaron Arizmendi, who teaches Spanish at a private high school and has postponed plans to replace his vehicle due to concerns about high prices eroding his savings, and is being cautious with his spending.
Overall, the uncertainty in the U.S. economy is increasing, with consumers and businesses struggling to cope with the possibility of a recession. This not only affects corporate earnings and stock prices but also makes ordinary people more cautious when it comes to spending. The future direction of the U.S. economy will continue to be closely watched globally.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2024/08-13/10268139.shtml
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