【中新社曼谷8月11日电】泰国开泰研究中心近日发布报告称，预计2024年泰国全年通货膨胀率将维持在0.8%。报告指出，2024年7月泰国通货膨胀率为0.83%，较上月有所上升，但预计8月份将有所回落。
开泰研究中心分析认为，7月通胀上升的主要原因是燃油价格受国际原油价格波动的影响而上涨，以及食品价格，尤其是大米、新鲜水果和成品食品，相比去年同期仍处于高位。在430种商品和服务中，有269种价格上涨。剔除食品和能源价格后的核心通胀率从上月的0.36%增至0.52%。
对于8月份的通胀预测，开泰研究中心表示，预计将比7月有所下降，但第四季度的通胀率可能会再次上升，原因是旅游旺季的到来以及去年同期的低基数效应。
开泰研究中心还指出，未来的通胀走势将受到国际油价走势和政府能源价格稳定措施的影响。尽管面临诸多不确定性，但研究中心仍维持全年通胀率为0.8%的预测。
泰国政府正在密切关注通胀情况，并可能采取措施以减轻通胀压力，同时保持经济的稳定增长。对于泰国消费者而言，尽管通胀率预计不会大幅上升，但他们仍需关注物价变动，以合理安排消费计划。
英语如下：
News Title: Thailand’s Inflation Rate Forecast: A Subtle Balance of 0.8%
Keywords: Thailand Inflation, Declining Forecast, KASIKORN Research Center
News Content: [CNS, Bangkok, August 11, 2023] The KASIKORN Research Center recently released a report predicting that Thailand’s annual inflation rate for 2024 will remain at 0.8%. The report noted that the inflation rate in Thailand in July 2024 was 0.83%, which was higher than the previous month, but it is expected to decrease in August.
The KASIKORN Research Center attributed the increase in inflation in July to rising fuel prices influenced by fluctuations in international oil prices, as well as elevated food prices, particularly for rice, fresh fruits, and processed foods, which remained at high levels compared to the same period last year. Among the 430 types of goods and services, 269 saw price increases. The core inflation rate, excluding food and energy prices, increased from 0.36% in the previous month to 0.52%.
Regarding the inflation forecast for August, the KASIKORN Research Center stated that it is expected to decrease from July, but the inflation rate in the fourth quarter may rise again due to the arrival of the tourism season and the low base effect of the same period last year.
The KASIKORN Research Center also pointed out that future inflation trends will be influenced by the movement of international oil prices and government measures to stabilize energy prices. Despite facing numerous uncertainties, the research center maintained its forecast of an annual inflation rate of 0.8% for the year.
The Thai government is closely monitoring the inflation situation and may take measures to alleviate inflationary pressures while maintaining stable economic growth. For Thai consumers, while the forecasted inflation rate is not expected to rise significantly, they are still advised to pay attention to price changes to plan their consumption accordingly.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2024/08-11/10267424.shtml
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