台湾22日发布的一项民调显示,超过六成的受访民众支持核电作为“2050净零”计划的因应策略。这一调查由台湾永续能源研究基金会进行,在全台19个县市展开,收到有效样本1068个。相较于2023年的民调,支持核电的受访者人数增加了5.8%,反映出民众对于核能作为绿色能源转型的一部分,持有较为积极的态度。

民进党当局曾宣布计划,到2030年台湾再生能源发电占比达到27%至30%。然而,调查结果指出,有53.9%的受访民众认为“不可能达成”,且学历越高者认为“不可能达成”的比例越高。这显示出民众对台湾政府推动的再生能源目标持有一定程度的怀疑。

针对民进党当局推出的“2050净零”计划,即至2050年实现碳中和的目标,调查结果显示,63.2%的受访民众支持以核电作为其策略之一,而23.2%的受访者表示不支持。这一比例的提升,反映了台湾民众对核能议题的表态意愿在上升。

值得注意的是,对核电态度表示“不知道”或者拒答者的比例下降了6.8%,这表明台湾民众对于核能议题的讨论持开放态度。台湾永续能源研究基金会执行长顾洋指出,台湾科技界人士近来对核能的讨论更为开放,民众也对此议题表现出更高的关注度。

台湾永续能源研究基金会董事会由包括台湾经济研究院、中华经济研究院在内的多家台湾智库和大型企业负责人组成。这一组织的调查结果,为台湾在能源转型和“净零”目标实现上提供了重要的民意参考。

### 专家观点:科技发展与民众期待

台湾经济研究院专精能源政策、永续发展的研究五所前所长杨丰硕分析指出,台湾在信息技术和人工智能领域的快速发展,提升了民众对再生能源的期待。然而,民众对台湾当局推动的相关政策信心不足,因此更加关注核电这一选项。这表明,台湾在推动能源转型过程中,需要平衡民众对绿色能源的期待与政策实施的可行性,同时加强公众教育,提高民众对核电安全性和效能的认识。

### 结语

此次民调结果反映了台湾社会在能源转型议题上的复杂心态。虽然多数民众支持核电作为“净零”目标的一部分,但也反映出对再生能源目标的不确定性和对政府政策的不信任。在这一背景下,如何平衡民众期待、政策可行性与能源安全,将是台湾在推动绿色能源转型过程中需要面对的关键挑战。

英语如下:

### Latest Taiwan Poll: Over 60% of Citizens Support Nuclear Power for 2050 Zero Carbon Plan

A recent poll conducted by the Taiwan Sustainable Energy Association, covering 19 cities and counties across the island, revealed that more than 60% of respondents favor nuclear power as a strategy for Taiwan’s 2050 Zero Carbon Plan. This survey, which garnered 1,068 valid responses, showed a 5.8% increase in support for nuclear power compared to a similar poll in 2023, indicating a more positive outlook among the public towards nuclear energy as part of the green energy transition.

Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) administration had previously announced a plan to increase the share of renewable energy in power generation to 27% to 30% by 2030. However, the survey found that 53.9% of respondents believed this goal was “impossible to achieve,” with higher proportions of those with higher education levels holding this view. This suggests a certain level of skepticism among the public regarding the government’s renewable energy targets.

Regarding the DPP’s 2050 Zero Carbon Plan, which aims for carbon neutrality by 2050, 63.2% of respondents supported the inclusion of nuclear power as a strategy, while 23.2% were against it. This increase in support reflects growing public discourse on nuclear energy issues in Taiwan.

Notably, the proportion of those who either did not express an opinion or refused to answer decreased by 6.8%, indicating a more open discussion among the public about nuclear energy. Executive Director of the Taiwan Sustainable Energy Association, Gu Yang, highlighted that there has been a more open discussion among Taiwan’s tech sector regarding nuclear energy, reflecting increased public interest in the topic.

The Taiwan Sustainable Energy Association’s board is composed of directors from leading Taiwanese think tanks and large corporations, including the Taiwan Economic Research Institute and the Chinese Economic Research Institute. The findings from this poll offer valuable insights into public opinion on energy transition and the achievement of the “zero carbon” goal in Taiwan.

### Expert Insight: Balancing Technological Development and Public Expectations

In a recent analysis, Director of the Energy Policy and Sustainable Development Research Center at the Taiwan Economic Research Institute, Yang Shou-fu, noted that Taiwan’s rapid advancements in information technology and artificial intelligence have raised public expectations for renewable energy. However, a lack of confidence in the government’s policies has led to greater interest in nuclear power as an option. This indicates that Taiwan must balance the public’s expectations for green energy with the feasibility of policy implementation, while also enhancing public education to increase awareness of nuclear power’s safety and efficiency.

### Conclusion

The results of this poll reflect the complex attitudes of the Taiwanese public towards energy transition issues. While the majority supports the use of nuclear power as part of the zero carbon goal, it also highlights uncertainties about renewable energy targets and lack of trust in government policies. In this context, striking a balance between public expectations, policy feasibility, and energy security will be a critical challenge for Taiwan as it moves forward with its green energy transition.

【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gn/2024/07-22/10255404.shtml

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