金沙江创投朱啸虎预测：五年后将无独立大模型公司存在，生成式AI迈入争霸时代
近日，在备受瞩目的2024创投十年高峰论坛上，金沙江创投合伙人朱啸虎发表了引人深思的主题演讲。他预测，随着人工智能技术的不断发展，大模型领域的竞争格局将在未来五年内发生巨变。
朱啸虎表示，今年将是人工智能领域创业回归商业本质的开始。他进一步预测，五年后市场上将不存在独立的大模型公司，因为在这一领域，没有商业模式能够支撑高昂的成本，新兴创业公司很难与大型企业竞争。随着价格持续降低至成本以下，大模型领域的竞争将更加激烈。
同时，朱啸虎强调生成式AI的重要性，认为其重要性堪比PC和移动互联网的十年周期。他预测未来的十年内，生成式AI将成为科技领域的核心驱动力之一。他判断，即将到来的2024年将是大模型争霸的关键一年。
朱啸虎的预测引发了业界的广泛关注。未来的竞争态势如何变化，业界还需拭目以待。不过可以预见的是，随着人工智能技术的不断发展，大模型领域的竞争将更加激烈，生成式AI将成为未来科技领域的核心驱动力之一。
英语如下：
News Title: GSR Ventures’ Zhu Xiaohu: Independent Big Model Companies May Disappear in Five Years, and a Competition for Big Models is Imminent
Keywords: GSR Ventures’ Zhu Xiaohu prediction, news keywords: big model, AI, competition, future trend
News Content:
GSR Ventures’ Zhu Xiaohu Predicts: No Independent Big Model Companies in Five Years, as AI Ushers in a New Era of Competition
At the highly anticipated 2024 Venture Capital Decade Summit, Zhu Xiaohu, a partner at GSR Ventures, delivered a thought-provoking keynote speech. He predicted that the landscape of the big model field will undergo significant changes in the next five years as artificial intelligence technology continues to evolve.
Zhu Xiaohu stated that this year will mark the beginning of a return to business fundamentals for artificial intelligence entrepreneurship. He further predicted that there will be no independent big model companies in the market five years from now, as high costs make it difficult for start-ups to compete with large enterprises without a viable business model. As prices continue to drop below cost, competition in the big model field will intensify.
Zhu Xiaohu emphasized the importance of generative AI, comparing its significance to the PC and mobile internet’s decade-long cycle. He predicted that within the next ten years, generative AI will become one of the core drivers of technological advancement. He also identified 2024 as a pivotal year for competition among big models.
Zhu Xiaohu’s predictions have garnered widespread attention in the industry. While the future of how competition will unfold remains to be seen, it is certain that the competition in the big model field will intensify as AI technology continues to evolve, and generative AI will become one of the core drivers of technological advancement in the future.
【来源】https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2024-06-21/doc-inaznhnk1396783.shtml
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