正文:

5月27日,中国国际经济交流中心副理事长王一鸣在杭州参加“2024清华五道口全球金融论坛”时,对当前世界经济形势提出了独到见解。王一鸣指出,自2008年金融危机以来,全球经济发展呈现出“低增长、低通胀、低利率、高债务”的典型特征。然而,新冠疫情的爆发对这一格局产生了深远影响。

王一鸣表示,新冠疫情的冲击使得全球供应链受到破坏,劳动力市场面临巨大压力,同时,各国为了应对疫情带来的经济衰退,大量增加财政支出和货币宽松,导致债务水平进一步上升。这些变化表明,世界经济正在从“三低一高”的模式向新的阶段过渡。

面对这种转变,王一鸣提出了一系列应对策略。他认为,首先,各国政府应审慎使用财政和货币政策,避免过度刺激导致的经济过热和债务累积。其次,应加强国际合作,共同应对疫情对全球经济的挑战,恢复和加强供应链的稳定。此外,王一鸣还强调,应推动科技创新和产业升级,以提高经济的韧性和可持续性。

最后,王一鸣呼吁国际社会保持冷静,共同应对世界经济进入的“三高一低”新阶段,以实现更加稳健和平衡的发展。

英语如下:

News Title: “Global Economy Faces New Challenges: Navigating the Era of ‘Three Highs and One Low'”

Keywords: Low Growth, High Debt, Global Change

News Content:

Title: Wang Yiming, Deputy Director of the China International Economic Exchange Center: The Global Economy Enters a New Stage of “Three Highs and One Low”

Text:

On May 27, Wang Yiming, Deputy Director of the China International Economic Exchange Center, offered insightful commentary on the current global economic situation during the “2024 Tsinghua Pudong Global Financial Forum” in Hangzhou. Wang Yiming pointed out that since the 2008 financial crisis, global economic development has shown typical characteristics of “low growth, low inflation, low interest rates, and high debt.” However, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly affected this pattern.

Wang Yiming stated that the impact of the pandemic has disrupted global supply chains and put immense pressure on the labor market. At the same time, as countries attempt to respond to the economic downturn caused by the pandemic by significantly increasing fiscal spending and monetary easing, the level of debt has further risen. These changes indicate that the global economy is transitioning from a model of “three lows and one high” to a new stage.

In response to this transformation, Wang Yiming proposed a series of strategies. He suggested that governments should be cautious in their use of fiscal and monetary policies to avoid excessive stimulation that leads to economic overheating and debt accumulation. Additionally, he emphasized the need for strengthened international cooperation to jointly address the challenges to the global economy posed by the pandemic and to restore and strengthen the stability of supply chains. Furthermore, Wang Yiming stressed the importance of promoting technological innovation and industrial upgrading to enhance the resilience and sustainability of the economy.

Finally, Wang Yiming called on the international community to remain calm and jointly face the new stage of “three highs and one low” the global economy is entering, with a view to achieving more stable and balanced development.

【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/05-27/10224243.shtml

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