【高盛报告:生成式AI将重塑全球经济,3亿岗位面临自动化转型】高盛集团的Jan Hatzius分析师团队近日发布了一份研究报告,揭示了人工智能(AI)特别是生成式AI对未来全球经济与劳动力市场可能产生的深远影响。报告指出,如果生成式AI能够实现其潜力,将对全球约3亿个全职工作岗位构成自动化挑战。
据高盛分析,目前美国大约60%的工作任务在某种程度上可以被AI自动化技术所影响,预计生成式AI可能会取代其中四分之一的岗位。这一变革将对劳动力市场带来显著的冲击。然而,报告同时强调,尽管短期内工作岗位可能会受到影响,但AI技术的广泛应用也将催生新的职业领域,为长期就业增长提供动力。
高盛认为,自动化的过程并非单纯的岗位流失,而是一个动态的经济结构调整过程。新的就业岗位将在AI技术推动下不断涌现,如AI相关的研发、维护和管理等,这将在很大程度上抵消AI自动化带来的负面影响。因此,适应和利用AI技术,培养相关技能,将是未来劳动力市场的重要趋势。
这一研究结果为全球政策制定者和企业界敲响了警钟,需要在推动科技创新的同时,关注劳动力市场的转型需求,制定相应的教育和培训策略,以确保经济的可持续发展和社会的和谐稳定。
英语如下:
**News Title:** “Goldman Sachs Report: Generative AI to Reshape Labor Market, 300 Million Jobs Face Automation Challenge and Transformation Opportunities”
**Keywords:** AI Automation, Job Disruption, Employment Growth
**News Content:** **Goldman Sachs Report: Generative AI Set to Redefine Global Economy, 300 Million Jobs at Risk of Automation** The Jan Hatzius analyst team at Goldman Sachs Group recently released a research report outlining the profound potential impact of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly generative AI, on the future global economy and labor market. The report suggests that if generative AI realizes its potential, it could automate approximately 300 million full-time jobs globally.
According to Goldman Sachs, currently, about 60% of job tasks in the United States are somewhat susceptible to AI automation. The team estimates that generative AI could potentially replace a quarter of these roles. This transformation is expected to have a significant impact on the labor market. However, the report emphasizes that while jobs may be disrupted in the short term, the widespread adoption of AI technology will also create new职业领域, fueling long-term employment growth.
Goldman Sachs argues that automation is not merely a loss of jobs but a dynamic process of economic结构调整. New job opportunities will emerge, such as in AI-related research, maintenance, and management, largely offsetting the negative effects of AI automation. Therefore, adapting to and leveraging AI technology, along with developing relevant skills, will be a key trend in the future labor market.
These findings serve as a wake-up call for global policymakers and the business community, highlighting the need to balance technological innovation with labor market transformation requirements. Appropriate education and training strategies must be developed to ensure sustainable economic growth and social stability.
【来源】https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711779
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