【马斯克预言：AI或于明年超越最聪明人类，新项目Grok 2.0剑指GPT-4】特斯拉和SpaceX的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克近日在财联社发表言论，预测人工智能（AI）将在2024年超越最顶尖的人类智能。他表示，这一里程碑式的转变可能在明年实现，也有可能延迟至2026年。
马斯克透露，一家名为xAI的机构正在研发名为Grok 2.0的先进AI模型，该模型的目标是超越Open AI的知名语言模型GPT-4。据内部消息，Grok 2.0的训练工作正在紧锣密鼓地进行，有望在五月份之前完成全部训练流程，这将可能在AI领域掀起新的技术革命。
然而，马斯克也警示，当前AI发展的主要瓶颈是芯片短缺问题。他指出，尽管如此，未来一到两年内，电力供应将成为制约AI进步的关键因素。随着AI计算需求的急剧增长，能源效率和可持续性的挑战将日益凸显。
马斯克的预测再次引发了全球对AI技术潜力与挑战的深度讨论，人们期待在科技进步的同时，也能找到解决其带来的问题的有效途径。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Musk’s Prediction: AI to Surpass Top Humans in 2024, Grok 2.0 Set to Outshine GPT-4”
**Keywords:** Musk’s prediction, AI surpassing humans, Grok 2.0
**News Content:** “[Musk Forecasts: AI May Overtake Top Humans in 2024, Grok 2.0 Targets GPT-4] Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, recently stated in a Caixin Global interview that artificial intelligence (AI) could surpass the cognitive abilities of the smartest humans in 2024. He suggested that this landmark shift might occur next year, though it could be delayed until 2026.
Musk disclosed that an entity named xAI is developing an advanced AI model called Grok 2.0, with the aim to outperform OpenAI’s renowned language model, GPT-4. Internal sources reveal that the training for Grok 2.0 is in its intense phase and is expected to complete all training processes by May, potentially sparking a new technological revolution in the AI sector.
However, Musk cautioned that the primary bottleneck in AI development currently is a chip shortage. He emphasized that within the next one to two years, power supply could become a crucial constraint to AI progress. As AI’s computational demands escalate, the challenges of energy efficiency and sustainability will become more prominent.
Musk’s prediction has reignited global discussions on the potential and challenges of AI technology. There is anticipation that as科技进步 progresses, effective solutions to the issues it presents will also be found.”
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1640885
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