【马斯克预言：AI将于明年超越顶尖人类智能，Grok 2.0剑指GPT-4】据财联社报道，科技巨头埃隆·马斯克近日表示，他预估人工智能（AI）的能力将在2024年达到一个里程碑，超越最聪明的人类。这一预测基于他对人工智能发展的深入洞察，以及对xAI公司正在研发的Grok 2.0的期待。
据悉，xAI正在全力以赴地训练其Grok的2.0版本，这一新版本的AI系统旨在超越Open AI的知名模型GPT-4。据内部消息透露，Grok 2.0的开发工作已接近尾声，有望在5月前完成全部训练过程，届时其智能水平将可能树立新的行业标杆。
然而，马斯克也指出，当前AI发展的主要瓶颈是芯片短缺问题，这一情况在短期内仍将持续影响AI技术的推进。他进一步预测，随着时间的推移，电力供应将成为未来一两年内制约AI发展的关键因素。马斯克的这一观点突显了AI技术在快速发展的同时，对基础设施和资源的需求也在同步增长。
马斯克的言论再次引发了全球对AI伦理、安全和资源管理的讨论，人们在期待AI带来技术革新的同时，也关注着这些变革可能带来的挑战和问题。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Musk’s Prediction: AI to Surpass Top Humans in 2024, Grok 2.0 Looms as New Milestone”
**Keywords:** Musk’s prediction, AI surpassing humans, Grok 2.0
**News Content:** According to Cailian Press, tech tycoon Elon Musk recently stated that he forecasts artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities to reach a milestone in 2024, outperforming the brightest human minds. This prediction is based on his in-depth understanding of AI development and his anticipation of xAI’s ongoing project, Grok 2.0.
It is reported that xAI is intensively training the 2.0 version of Grok, an AI system designed to surpass Open AI’s renowned model, GPT-4. Internal sources suggest that the development of Grok 2.0 is nearing completion, with expectations to finish the entire training process by May, potentially setting a new industry benchmark for intelligence levels.
However, Musk also pointed out that the current bottleneck in AI development is the shortage of chips, an issue that will continue to impact the progress of AI technology in the short term. He further predicts that electricity supply will become a crucial constraint on AI development in the next one to two years. Musk’s perspective underscores the simultaneous growth in infrastructure and resource demands as AI technology advances rapidly.
Musk’s remarks have reignited global discussions on AI ethics, safety, and resource management. While people look forward to the technological innovations AI promises, they are also mindful of the challenges and issues that these transformations might bring.
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1640885
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