【马斯克预言：AI明年可能超越顶尖人类，Grok 2.0剑指GPT-4】
据财联社报道，科技巨头马斯克近期表示，人工智能（AI）的发展速度正以前所未有的态势加速，他预测，AI可能在明年，即2024年，超越最聪明的人类。马斯克这一观点的提出，再次引发了全球对于AI智能水平超越人类智能的讨论。
据悉，新兴科技公司xAI正在研发其2.0版本的Grok项目，这一迭代产品被寄予厚望，有望在功能和性能上超越Open AI的知名语言模型GPT-4。据内部消息透露，Grok 2.0的训练工作预计将在今年5月前全部完成，其强大性能的展现，将可能印证马斯克的预言。
然而，马斯克也指出，当前AI发展的主要瓶颈是芯片短缺问题，这一问题在一定程度上限制了AI技术的快速推进。他预见到，未来一到两年内，电力供应将成为制约AI发展的新挑战，因为日益复杂的AI系统对电力的需求将持续增长。
马斯克的言论和预测，无疑为AI领域的未来发展投下了新的阴影和期待。随着技术的不断演进，如何平衡资源限制与AI的无尽可能，将成为全球科技界和政策制定者需要共同面对的课题。
英语如下：
News Title: “Musk’s Prognosis: AI to Outperform Top Humans by 2024, Grok 2.0 Looms as New Milestone”
Keywords: Musk’s prediction, AI surpassing humans, Grok 2.0
News Content: **Musk Foresees AI Overtaking Top Humans in 2024, Grok 2.0 Targets GPT-4**
According to Caixin Global, tech mogul Elon Musk recently stated that the development of artificial intelligence (AI) is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. He predicts that AI could surpass the brightest human minds as early as next year, in 2024. Musk’s statement has reignited global discussions about AI potentially outperforming human intelligence.
Sources reveal that emerging tech company xAI is in the process of developing its Grok project’s 2.0 version, which is anticipated to surpass Open AI’s renowned language model, GPT-4, in terms of functionality and performance. Internal sources suggest that the training for Grok 2.0 is expected to be fully completed by May of this year, potentially validating Musk’s prediction with its impressive capabilities.
However, Musk also points out that the main bottleneck for AI development currently is the chip shortage, which is partly constraining the rapid progression of AI technology. He foresees that within the next one to two years, power supply could become a new challenge for AI development, as increasingly sophisticated AI systems will demand more electricity.
Musk’s comments and forecasts cast both new shadows and anticipation on the future of the AI domain. As technology evolves, striking a balance between resource constraints and the limitless potential of AI will emerge as a crucial challenge for the global tech community and policymakers alike.
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1640885
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