高盛集团的分析师团队在最近的研报中警告，人工智能（AI）技术的快速发展预计将对全球经济增长产生深远影响，可能导致全球多达3亿个全职工作岗位面临“自动化”的风险。Jan Hatzius领导的分析师团队指出，生成式AI的潜力可能会对劳动力市场产生重大冲击，特别是在美国和欧洲。
根据高盛的研究，美国目前大约60%的工作在某种程度上受到AI自动化的影响，预计生成式AI可能会取代约四分之一的岗位。这一变革不仅限于美国，其影响将波及全球，估计全球范围内有3亿个工作岗位可能被自动化取代。
然而，尽管AI自动化可能导致大规模的岗位流失，高盛的报告也指出，这一技术进步同样可能创造新的工作机会。报告认为，AI带来的“自动化”浪潮在长远来看，很可能会通过催生新的行业和岗位来抵消其替代传统工作的影响，这将成为未来长期就业增长的主要驱动力。
高盛的分析强调，尽管AI的崛起带来了挑战，但同时也孕育着机遇，需要社会在教育、培训和政策制定上做出相应调整，以确保劳动力能够适应这个日益智能化的未来工作环境。来源：华尔街见闻。
英语如下：
News Title: “Goldman Sachs Warns: Generative AI to Reshape Labor Market, 300 Million Jobs at Risk from Automation”
Keywords: AI Automation, Job Disruption, Employment Growth
News Content: In a recent research report, analysts at Goldman Sachs Group have cautioned that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is expected to have a profound impact on global economic growth, potentially exposing up to 300 million full-time jobs worldwide to the “risk of automation.” The team, led by Jan Hatzius, points out that the potential of generative AI could lead to significant disruptions in labor markets, particularly in the United States and Europe.
According to Goldman Sachs’s research, roughly 60% of jobs in the US are currently somewhat susceptible to AI automation, with generative AI potentially replacing about a quarter of those positions. This transformation is not limited to the US; its effects are anticipated to reverberate globally, with an estimated 300 million jobs globally at risk of being automated.
However, while AI automation may lead to substantial job losses, the report from Goldman Sachs also highlights that this technological progression could create new employment opportunities. It suggests that the “automation wave” brought about by AI could, in the long run, offset its impact on traditional jobs by fostering new industries and roles, driving long-term employment growth.
The bank’s analysis underscores that while the rise of AI presents challenges, it also holds potential for opportunities. It calls for adjustments in education, training, and policy-making to ensure that the workforce can adapt to this increasingly智能化 future work environment. Source: Wall Street Journal.
【来源】https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711779
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