全球知名企业家埃隆·马斯克在社交媒体X上发表观点，支持Midjourney创始人大卫·霍尔茨的预言，认为如果人类文明的基础稳定，到20年后，地球上可能会有大约10亿个人形机器人。这一预测源自霍尔茨在社交媒体上的一篇帖子，他设想在21世纪40年代，地球机器人数量将达到10亿，而到了60年代，整个太阳系将拥有1000亿个机器人，其中大部分为外星机器人。
马斯克的这一观点与他所领导的特斯拉公司的发展战略紧密相关。他曾经表示，特斯拉正在研发的人形机器人“擎天柱”（Optimus）可能在未来比电动汽车业务更具重要意义。马斯克期待在未来的三到五年内将“擎天柱”推向市场，并相信这款机器人能在各种环境中实现自主完成任务，从而开启全新的机器人时代。
马斯克的这一大胆预测引发了业界的广泛关注和讨论。如果“擎天柱”能够成功商业化并实现大规模生产，那么它不仅将改变特斯拉的业务版图，还可能对全球劳动力市场和社会结构产生深远影响。然而，这一愿景的实现需要克服技术、伦理和法规等多方面的挑战，目前尚处于设想阶段，但马斯克的乐观态度无疑为人工智能和机器人技术的发展注入了新的活力。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Musk’s Bold Prediction: 1 Billion Humanoid Robots to Transform Earth in 20 Years”
**Keywords:** Musk’s prediction, humanoid robots, Tesla’s Optimus
**News Content:**
### Musk Foresees 1 Billion Humanoid Robots on Earth by 2042, with Tesla’s Optimus as a New Milestone
Renowned entrepreneur Elon Musk has voiced his support on social platform X for Midjourney founder David Hertz’s prediction, suggesting that if human civilization remains stable, there could be around 1 billion humanoid robots on Earth in two decades. This forecast stems from a post on social media by Hertz, who envisions 1 billion robots on Earth by the 2040s and 100 billion across the solar system by the 2060s, predominantly extraterrestrial robots.
Musk’s perspective aligns closely with the strategic direction of his company, Tesla. He has previously stated that the humanoid robot, “Optimus,” currently in development at Tesla, could become more significant than the electric vehicle business in the future. Musk anticipates introducing Optimus to the market within the next three to five years and believes the robot will be capable of autonomously completing tasks in various environments, ushering in a new era of robotics.
This daring prediction has sparked widespread attention and debate within the industry. Should Optimus succeed in commercialization and mass production, it would not only reshape Tesla’s business landscape but also potentially have profound impacts on the global labor market and societal structure. However, realizing this vision entails overcoming challenges in technology, ethics, and regulations. While still in the conceptual stage, Musk’s optimistic outlook injects new vitality into the development of artificial intelligence and robotics.
【来源】https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240122A018YH00
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