高盛集团的分析师团队在最近的研报中警告，人工智能（AI）技术的快速发展可能对全球劳动力市场产生深远影响，预计将有约3亿个全职工作岗位面临被“自动化”的风险。Jan Hatzius领导的分析团队指出，生成式AI作为AI领域的一个重要分支，其潜力如果得到充分释放，可能替代美国近四分之一的岗位，而美国目前有大约三分之二的工作在某种程度上受到AI自动化的影响。
尽管这一预测引发了对就业安全的担忧，但高盛同时强调，AI的广泛应用并非全然负面。报告指出，尽管AI可能会取代一部分传统工作岗位，但它也将催生新的行业和职位，为长期就业增长注入新的活力。这种“创造性破坏”是经济进步的一个重要特征，历史经验表明，技术进步往往在短期内造成就业结构的调整，但在长期内能够创造更多的就业机会。
高盛的分析基于对美国和欧洲职业任务的深入研究，其结论在全球范围内具有普遍意义。尽管自动化可能导致大规模的岗位转型，但AI技术的革新也将为全球经济带来增长动力，推动新的商业模式和职业领域的诞生。因此，政策制定者和企业界需要提前规划，以确保劳动力能够适应这一转型，通过教育和培训来提升技能，以应对未来的工作市场。
英语如下：
News Title: “Goldman Sachs Warns: Generative AI to Reshape Labor Market, 300 Million Jobs at Risk from Automation”
Keywords: AI Automation, Job Positions, Economic Growth
News Content: In a recent research report, Goldman Sachs’ team of analysts cautioned that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technology could have profound implications on the global labor market, potentially putting around 300 million full-time jobs at risk of “automation.” The team, led by Jan Hatzius, pointed out that generative AI, a significant subfield of AI, if fully harnessed, could replace nearly a quarter of jobs in the United States, with roughly two-thirds of current jobs in the country being somewhat susceptible to AI automation.
While this forecast raises concerns about job security, Goldman Sachs also emphasized that the widespread adoption of AI is not entirely negative. The report argues that although AI might displace certain traditional job roles, it will also spawn new industries and positions, injecting vitality into long-term employment growth. This “creative destruction” is a key characteristic of economic progress, with historical evidence suggesting that technological advancements often lead to short-term job结构调整 but generate more employment opportunities in the long run.
Goldman Sachs’ analysis is rooted in in-depth studies of occupational tasks in the United States and Europe, with its conclusions holding relevance globally. Although automation may trigger large-scale job transitions, the innovation brought by AI technology will also contribute to economic growth, fostering the emergence of new business models and职业领域. Consequently, policymakers and the corporate sector need to plan ahead to ensure that the workforce can adapt to this transformation, investing in education and training to upgrade skills for the future job market.
【来源】https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711779
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