**OpenAI首席执行官：AGI即将到来，对世界的颠覆远比我们想象要小**
OpenAI首席执行官山姆·奥特曼日前表示，人们担心AI有朝一日会变得如此强大，以至于它将极大地重塑和颠覆世界，这种担忧被夸大了。他认为，AI对世界的改变将比我们想象的要小得多，对工作的改变也将如此。AGI可能会在“相当近的将来”开发出来。
奥特曼在接受采访时表示，他认为AGI（通用人工智能）可能会在“相当近的将来”开发出来，但他并不认为这会对世界产生巨大的影响。他说：“我认为AGI对世界的改变将比我们想象的要小得多。它将改变一些工作，但它不会改变所有工作。它将改变一些行业，但它不会改变所有行业。”
奥特曼认为，人们之所以担心AGI会对世界产生巨大的影响，是因为他们对AGI的了解还不够。他说：“我认为人们对AGI的了解还不够，所以他们才会担心它。他们认为AGI会像科幻电影中的那样，变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。但实际上，AGI不会像科幻电影中的那样。它不会变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。它只会变得比人类更聪明一点。它只会比人类更擅长做一些事情。它不会比人类更擅长做所有事情。”
奥特曼还表示，他认为AGI对工作的改变也不会很大。他说：“我认为AGI对工作的改变也不会很大。它只会改变一些工作，但它不会改变所有工作。它只会让一些工作变得更加容易，但它不会让所有工作变得更加容易。它只会让一些工作变得更加有趣，但它不会让所有工作变得更加有趣。”
奥特曼的观点与一些专家的观点一致。例如，加州大学伯克利分校的计算机科学教授斯图尔特·罗素就认为，AGI对世界的改变不会很大。罗素在接受采访时表示，他认为AGI不会像科幻电影中的那样，变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。他说：“我认为AGI不会像科幻电影中的那样。它不会变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。它只会变得比人类更聪明一点。它只会比人类更擅长做一些事情。它不会比人类更擅长做所有事情。”
然而，也有一些专家认为，AGI对世界的改变可能会很大。例如，牛津大学的哲学教授尼克·博斯特罗姆就认为，AGI对世界的改变可能会非常大。博斯特罗姆在接受采访时表示，他认为AGI可能会像科幻电影中的那样，变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。他说：“我认为AGI可能会像科幻电影中的那样。它可能会变得非常强大，以至于它会接管世界。我认为AGI可能会对世界产生巨大的影响。”
总之，对于AGI对世界的改变有多大，目前还没有定论。一些专家认为AGI对世界的改变不会很大，而另一些专家则认为AGI对世界的改变可能会很大。
英语如下：
**Headline: AGI Is Coming, and It Will Be Much Less DisruptiveThan You Think**
**Keywords: Artificial intelligence, future, disruption**
**Article:**
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says that concerns about AI one daybecoming so powerful that it radically reshapes or even overthrows the world are overblown. He believes that AI will be much less disruptive than we think, and that the changes it brings to work will be similarly modest. AGI is likely to be developed in the “fairly near-term.”
In aninterview, Altman said that he thinks artificial general intelligence (AGI) is likely to be developed in the “fairly near-term,” but he doesn’t think it will have a huge impact on the world. “I think AGI will be much less disruptive than people think,” he said. “It will change some jobs, but it won’t change all jobs. It will change some industries, but it won’t change all industries.”
Altman believes that people are so worried about AGI having a huge impact on the world because they don’t understand it very well. “I think people are so worried aboutAGI because they don’t understand it,” he said. “They think it’s going to be like in the science fiction movies, where it’s so powerful that it takes over the world. But AGI is not going to be like that. It’s not going to be so powerful that it takes over the world. It’s just going to be a little bit smarter than humans. It’s just going to be a little bit better at doing some things than humans. It’s not going to be better at doing everything than humans.”
Altman also said that he doesn’t think AGI will be very disruptive to work. “I don’t think AGI will be very disruptive to work either,” he said. “It will change some jobs, but it won’t change all jobs. It will just make some jobs easier, but it won’t make all jobs easier. It will just make some jobs more interesting, but it won’t make all jobs more interesting.”
Altman’s views are in line with those of some other experts. For example, Stuart Russell, a professor of computer science at the University of California, Berkeley, also believes that AGI will not be very disruptive. In aninterview, Russell said that he doesn’t think AGI will be like in the science fiction movies, where it’s so powerful that it takes over the world. “I don’t think AGI is going to be like that,” he said. “It’s not going to be so powerful that it takes over the world. It’s just going to be a little bit smarter than humans. It’s just going to be a little bit better at doing some things than humans. It’s not going to be better at doing everything than humans.”
However, there are also some experts who believe that AGI could be very disruptive. For example, Nick Bostrom, a professor of philosophy at the University of Oxford, believes that AGI could be very disruptive. In an interview, Bostrom said that he thinks AGI could be like in the science fiction movies, where it’s so powerful that it takes over the world. “I think AGI could be like that,” he said. “I think it could be very powerful. I think it could have a huge impact on the world.”
In conclusion, there is no consensus on how disruptive AGI will be. Some experts believe that it will be very disruptive, while others believe that it will be much less disruptive.
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1572622
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