标题：全网AI大佬预测：GPT-5无法实现真正突破，24年AGI仍遥不可及
新智元报道，经过23年的生成式AI之年，AI领域的专家们对未来的发展趋势进行了深入的探讨和预测。其中，全网AI大佬们对GPT-5以及基本人工智能（AGI）的发展做出了最新的预测。
据预测，即使GPT-5发布，其本质上仍然有限。这意味着，尽管GPT-5可能会在语言理解和生成方面取得重大进步，但其能力仍将受到一定的限制。这是因为，尽管GPT-5可能会在处理复杂任务和理解复杂语境方面有所提升，但其核心能力——理解和生成人类语言——仍然无法与人类智能相媲美。
此外，全网AI大佬们还预测，到2024年，基本的人工智能（AGI）也不足以实现。这意味着，尽管AI技术在过去的几年中取得了显著的进步，但要达到能够理解、学习和适应任何环境的通用人工智能，我们可能还需要更长的时间。
这些预测引发了人们对AI未来发展的关注。尽管GPT-5和AGI的发展可能不如人们预期的那样快，但这并不意味着AI的发展就此停滞。相反，这可能会推动科学家们寻找新的方法和策略，以加速AI的发展进程。
英语如下：
Title: AI Experts Warn: GPT-5 Cannot Break Through, AGI StillTitle: AI Experts Warn: GPT-5 Cannot Break Through, AGI Still Far Away in 24 Years!
Keywords: AI Predictions, GPT-5, AGI Realization
News Content: Title: AI Experts Predict: GPT-5 Cannot Achieve True Breakthrough, AGI Still Far Away in 24 Years
New Intellect reports that after 23 years of the “Annual Year of Generative AI”, experts in the field of AI have conducted in-depth discussions and predictions about future development trends. Among them, AI experts across the internet have made the latest predictions regarding the development of GPT-5 and Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
According to predictions, even if GPT-5 is released, its essence will still be limited. This means that although GPT-5 may make significant progress in language understanding and generation, its capabilities will still be restricted. This is because, although GPT-5 may improve in handling complex tasks and understanding complex contexts, its core capability – understanding and generating human language – still cannot match human intelligence.
In addition, AI experts across the internet also predict that by 2024, basic Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will not be realized. This means that although AI technology has made remarkable progress in the past few years, it may take longer to achieve a general artificial intelligence that can understand, learn, and adapt to any environment.
These predictions have raised concerns about the future development of AI. Although the development of GPT-5 and AGI may not be as fast as people expect, this does not mean that the development of AI has come to a standstill. On the contrary, this may push scientists to find new methods and strategies to accelerate the development process of AI.
【来源】https://www.ithome.com/0/742/812.htm
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