据中国国家统计局1月12日公布的数据，2023年12月份，我国工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）同比下降2.7%，降幅较上月收窄0.3个百分点。全年来看，2023年中国PPI比上年下降3.0%。专家指出，多重因素支撑2024年中国PPI回正。
分析认为，2023年12月PPI降幅收窄主要得益于国内外需求的逐步回暖、供给侧改革深入推进以及全球通胀压力缓解等多重因素。随着我国经济持续复苏，市场需求有望进一步扩大，这将有助于推动PPI逐步回升。此外，政府持续推进供给侧改革，优化产业结构，降低企业成本，也为PPI回正创造了有利条件。
在全球范围内，通胀压力缓解也为我国PPI回正提供了外部环境。随着各国央行货币政策逐步收紧，全球通胀水平有望得到控制，从而降低我国进口商品价格波动，助力PPI稳定。
总体来看，2024年我国PPI走势较为乐观。但在一定程度上，还需关注国际原油价格、全球货币政策变化等因素对PPI的影响。未来，我国政府将继续深化供给侧改革，加强宏观调控，确保PPI走势稳定，助力经济发展。
Title: China’s PPI decline narrows in December 2023, outlook remains positive
Keywords: PPI, decline narrowing, multiple factors
News Content:
According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China on January 12, the producer price index of industrial products (PPI) in China decreased by 2.7% in December 2023, with the decline narrowing by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. Looking at the whole year, China’s PPI decreased by 3.0% in 2023. Experts point out that multiple factors support the positive turn of China’s PPI in 2024.
Analysts believe that the narrowing of the decline in PPI in December 2023 is mainly due to the gradual recovery of domestic and international demand, the deepening of supply-side reform, and the easing of global inflation pressures. As China’s economy continues to recover, the market demand is expected to further expand, which will help push up the PPI gradually. In addition, the government continues to advance supply-side reform, optimize the industrial structure, and reduce corporate costs, creating favorable conditions for the positive turn of PPI.
Globally, the easing of inflation pressures also provides an external environment for the positive turn of China’s PPI. As central banks around the world gradually tighten monetary policy, global inflation levels are expected to be contained, thereby reducing the price fluctuations of imported goods in China, and helping stabilize the PPI.
Overall, the outlook for China’s PPI in 2024 is relatively optimistic. However, to a certain extent, the impact of international crude oil prices and changes in global monetary policy on PPI needs to be monitored. In the future, the Chinese government will continue to deepen supply-side reform, strengthen macro-control, ensure the stability of PPI trends, and contribute to economic development.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/01-12/10145047.shtml
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