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上海的陆家嘴
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GenCast:谷歌DeepMind的AI气象预报员,一场预测风暴的来临

引言: 想象一下,一个能够在8分钟内生成长达15天全球天气预报的系统,其准确率超越全球顶尖的中期天气预报系统。这并非科幻小说,而是谷歌DeepMind最新推出的AI气象预测模型GenCast带来的现实。它不仅能预测常规天气,更在极端天气事件预测方面展现出令人瞩目的能力,预示着气象预报领域一场深刻的变革。

主体:

1. GenCast的卓越性能: GenCast基于扩散模型技术,在97.2%的预测任务中超越了欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的ENS系统——公认的全球中期天气预报领域标杆。尤其在预测热浪、强风和热带气旋等极端天气事件方面,GenCast表现更为突出。这对于灾害预警和减灾具有重大意义,能够为政府和救援组织提供更准确、更及时的信息,从而减少人员伤亡和经济损失。

**2. 高效的预测速度


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