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导语:2024年上半年,中国公募基金行业面临前所未有的挑战,权益市场震荡下行、费率改革持续推进,加之金融反腐的深入,行业前景堪忧。

正文:

近年来,中国公募基金行业总资产已突破33万亿元,然而,2024年上半年的半年报显示,公募基金公司赖以生存的管理费收入同比下降13.81%,近70%的管理费收入出现下滑。在可比经营业绩数据的66家公募基金公司中,营收和净利润均同比减少超过10%,行业分化进一步加剧。

以下是行业面临的几个主要挑战:

  1. 权益市场震荡下行:上半年,公募基金整体规模虽延续增长态势,但新发基金乏力,权益类产品规模小幅增长,普通股票基金份额环比下滑。投资者风险偏好显著降低,导致股票型、偏股混合型基金超半数录得5%以上跌幅。

  2. 费率改革持续推进:随着费率改革的推进,公募基金公司收入受到影响,管理费收入下滑,进一步挤压公司利润空间。

  3. 金融反腐深入:金融反腐的深入导致公募行业开始瑟瑟发抖,从全行业主动减薪,到审计机构进驻几大公募公司,再到资深高管被调查,行业面临前所未有的压力。

  4. 债券牛市中的风险与博弈:在债券牛市中,公募基金持仓债券总市值处于近三年的历史高位,但市场风险也在逐渐累积。各类债券基金均拉长了久期,以追求更高的收益,但同时也增加了风险。

在权益投资方面,公募基金呈现出明显的“抱团”现象,个股集中度上升。在行业配置方面,电子、医药生物、电力设备等行业受到青睐。

展望未来,公募基金行业仍面临诸多挑战。在权益市场震荡、费率改革持续推进和金融反腐深入的背景下,公募基金公司需努力提升投研能力,以应对复杂多变的市场环境。同时,行业内部也需要加强自律,规范运作,以保障投资者利益。

结语:在当前的市场环境下,公募基金行业面临前所未有的挑战。然而,在挑战与机遇并存的市场中,公募基金公司仍需努力提升自身实力,为投资者创造价值。


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