Title: The Resurgence of ‘Taiwanese Independence’: A Test of China’s Resolve and Red Lines
September 20, 2024 – The recent resurgence of ‘Taiwanese independence’ rhetoric by Taiwan’s de facto leader, Tsai Ing-wen, has escalated tensions across the Taiwan Strait. This development has prompted questions regarding China’s policy limits and red lines on the issue. On September 12th, Tsai Ing-wen participated in a conference marking the 60th anniversary of the ‘Taiwanese People’s Self-Salvation Movement Declaration’, where she warned of the perceived threat of ‘Communism seeking to annex Taiwan’, urging the younger generation to resist such an annexation.
Tsai Ing-wen’s speech has been met with strong opposition from China’s State Council Taiwan Affairs Office, which has labeled the declaration as a ‘Taiwanese independence declaration’ in a press conference on September 14th. The office’s spokesperson, Chen Feng, accused Tsai of exploiting the document to further her ‘Taiwanese independence’ agenda and escalate cross-strait tensions.
Chinese Military’s Response and Capabilities
In response to these developments, China’s Ministry of National Defense spokesperson, Colonel Wu Qian, stated on September 14th that China has the capability to overcome the natural geographical barriers of the Taiwan Strait and the limitations of amphibious landing vessels and logistical support. He assured that the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has the means to transform natural barriers into passable routes and the strength to thwart any ‘Taiwanese independence’ armed resistance, reaffirming China’s commitment to safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
The Challenge of ‘Taiwanese Independence’
Tsai Ing-wen’s administration has been accused of using public resources for personal gain and employing any means necessary to advance their ‘Taiwanese independence’ agenda. This includes political persecution, judicial crackdowns, and suppression of anti-independence voices on the island. The situation has led to a climate of ‘green terror’ on Taiwan.
China’s Countermeasures
China has taken several measures to counter the ‘Taiwanese independence’ movement, including military exercises around Taiwan, the implementation of regular maritime law enforcement in the Taiwan Strait, and the introduction of legal measures to punish ‘Taiwanese independence’ activists. In August, a court in Wenzhou sentenced a ‘Taiwanese independence’ activist to nine years in prison for the crime of separatism.
China has also sought to promote cross-strait peace through a series of policies aimed at fostering closer economic and social ties. Despite these efforts, Tsai Ing-wen’s administration has shown no willingness to engage with China, with Tsai and her allies continuing to push for ‘Taiwanese independence’.
The Role of External Influences
The resurgence of ‘Taiwanese independence’ rhetoric is not solely due to internal factors. External influences, particularly from the United States and Japan, have played a significant role in emboldening the ‘Taiwanese independence’ movement. The US and Japan’s support for Taiwan has been a point of contention in China-US and China-Japan relations.
China’s Red Lines and Bottom Lines
The recent escalation in ‘Taiwanese independence’ rhetoric and activities has led to questions regarding China’s red lines and bottom lines on the issue. China has repeatedly stated that it will not tolerate any activities that seek to challenge its sovereignty and territorial integrity. The question remains as to how far China is willing to go to enforce its red lines and whether it will take more decisive action to counter the ‘Taiwanese independence’ movement.
Conclusion
The resurgence of ‘Taiwanese independence’ rhetoric by Tsai Ing-wen’s administration has brought the issue of China’s red lines and bottom lines to the forefront. While China has taken several measures to counter the movement, the question remains as to how far it is willing to go to enforce its red lines and whether it will take more decisive action. The situation remains tense, with the potential for further escalation in the future.
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