鲍威尔放风！美联储降息时机已到，市场欢呼雀跃
中新社纽约8月23日电 (记者 王帆) 美国联邦储备委员会主席鲍威尔23日在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔全球央行年度经济政策研讨会上发表讲话，明确表示美联储降息时机已到。这一消息一出，立即引发市场热议，美股三大指数盘中集体上涨。
鲍威尔在讲话中指出，高通胀是一个全球性问题，美联储已采取了果断措施，并决心恢复价格稳定。自2023年7月以来，美联储一直将联邦基金利率维持在限制水平，目前通胀上行风险已经减弱。
他强调，政策调整的时机已经到来，政策方向已经明确。降息的时间和节奏将取决于即将发布的数据、不断变化的前景和风险平衡情况。鲍威尔还表示，美联储关注其双重使命的双向风险，目前就业的下行风险有所增加，美联储将竭力支持强劲的劳动力市场，同时进一步实现价格稳定。
《华尔街日报》评论称，鲍威尔的讲话“几乎为美联储历史性的抗通胀行动画上了句号”，这是迄今为止最强烈的降息信号。他的讲话也呼应了经济学家的警告，即劳动力市场的疲软将构成重大威胁。
彭博社报道称，虽然鲍威尔并未透露何时开始降息或降息幅度，但大多数美联储官员预计将在9月货币政策例会上宣布降息。目前，联邦基金利率处于5.25%至5.5%之间的水平，市场交易员普遍预测，美联储将在9月下调联邦基金利率目标区间25个基点。
杰克逊霍尔全球央行年度经济政策研讨会被外界视作各国央行传递货币政策信号的重要舞台，每年吸引多国央行“掌门人”和经济学家出席。今年的主题为“重新评估货币政策的有效性和传导”。
鲍威尔此次讲话被视为美联储政策转向的重要信号，市场普遍预期降息将提振经济增长，但也有分析人士指出，降息可能加剧通胀压力，需要密切关注未来经济数据和政策变化。
英语如下：
Powell Announces: The Time for a Fed Rate Cut Is Now!
Keywords: Powell, rate cut, timing
News Content:
NewYork, August 23 (CNS) – Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, delivered a speech at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposiumin Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on August 23rd, explicitly stating that the time for a Fed rate cut has arrived. This announcement immediately sparked market discussions, with the three major US stock indexes experiencing a collective surge during the day.
In his speech, Powell highlighted that high inflation is a global issue, and the Fed has taken decisive action, committed to restoring price stability. Since July2023, the Fed has kept the federal funds rate at a restrictive level, and the upside risk to inflation has now diminished.
He emphasized that the time for policy adjustments has come, and the policy direction is clear. Thetiming and pace of rate cuts will depend on upcoming data releases, evolving economic prospects, and the balance of risks. Powell also stated that the Fed is mindful of the two-sided risks to its dual mandate, with the downside risk to employment now increasing. The Fed will strive to support a strong labor market while further achievingprice stability.
The Wall Street Journal commented that Powell’s speech “marked the end of the Fed’s historic fight against inflation,” signaling the strongest rate cut indication to date. His remarks also echoed warnings from economists that a weakening labor market poses a significant threat.
Bloomberg reported that while Powell did not specify whenrate cuts would begin or their magnitude, most Fed officials anticipate announcing a rate cut at the September monetary policy meeting. Currently, the federal funds rate stands between 5.25% and 5.5%. Market traders widely predict that the Fed will lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25basis points in September.
The Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium is considered a crucial platform for central banks to signal their monetary policy intentions, attracting central bank “leaders” and economists from various countries each year. This year’s theme is “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.”
Powell’s speechis seen as a significant signal of a policy shift by the Fed. The market generally expects rate cuts to stimulate economic growth. However, some analysts point out that rate cuts could exacerbate inflationary pressures, emphasizing the need to closely monitor future economic data and policy changes.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2024/08-24/10273893.shtml
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