韩国企划财政部16日发布的《最新经济动向》（绿皮书）8月刊显示，韩国近期出口和制造业表现良好，内需以设备投资为中心出现回暖迹象，经济复苏势头持续。政府连续四个月对内需作出“出现回暖迹象”的研判，但与韩国开发研究院（KDI）等外部机构的评价存在差异。KDI本月8日以内需疲软为由将今年韩国经济增长预期从2.6%下调至2.5%。
今年第二季度实际国内生产总值（GDP）因投资、民生消费等内需指标下滑而出现环比负增长。具体来看，6月零售销售和设备投资分别环比增长1%和4.3%，但同比（-3.6%、-2.7%）均减少；建设投资环比（-0.3%）、同比（-4.6%）均下降；服务业产值环比（0.2%）、同比（0.5%）均增长。
政府指出，消费者信心指数改善、外国游客增加、建筑业订单增加是内需指标的利好因素。但百货商场和折扣店销售额减少、国内机械订单减少或为利空因素。
企划财政部方面指出，原材料价格波动可能性、主要国家经济下行担忧等全球不确定性正在加大。政府将加速推进下半年经济政策课题，以改善民生。（完）
英语如下：
News Title: “South Korean Economic Green Paper: Domestic Demand Reviving, Strong Recovery in Tow”
Keywords: Revival of Domestic Demand, Economic Recovery, Ministry of Economy and Finance
News Content: The latest issue of the “Current Economic Situation” (green paper) released by the Ministry of Economy and Finance of South Korea on the 16th shows that South Korea’s exports and manufacturing sectors have performed well in recent months. There are signs of a recovery in domestic demand, with equipment investment as the centerpiece, and the momentum of economic recovery continues. The government has assessed for four consecutive months that there are signs of a recovery in domestic demand, but there is a difference in evaluation with external institutions such as the Korea Development Institute (KDI). On the 8th of this month, KDI lowered its forecast for South Korea’s economic growth this year from 2.6% to 2.5%, citing weak domestic demand.
The actual domestic production value (GDP) for the second quarter of this year experienced a negative growth rate on a month-on-month basis due to a decline in internal demand indicators such as investment and consumer spending. Specifically, retail sales in June and equipment investment increased by 1% and 4.3% month-on-month, respectively, but both showed a decrease year-on-year (-3.6%, -2.7%). Construction investment showed a decrease of -0.3% month-on-month and -4.6% year-on-year; and the output of the service sector increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.5% year-on-year.
The government pointed out that positive factors such as improved consumer confidence index, increased foreign tourists, and more construction orders are contributing to the recovery of domestic demand indicators. However, decreased sales at department stores and discount stores, and reduced domestic machinery orders could be considered as negative factors.
The Ministry of Economy and Finance noted that the possibility of volatility in raw material prices, concerns about the economic downturn in major countries, and other global uncertainties are increasing. The government will accelerate the economic policy agenda for the second half of the year to improve the livelihoods. (End)
【来源】https://cn.yna.co.kr/view/ACK20240816001500881?section=economy/index&input=rss
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