随着中国经济进入年中,多项经济指标显示,内需潜力不断释放,有效投资持续扩大,为经济的平稳向好提供了坚实支撑。根据最新数据,上半年国内需求恢复强劲,最终消费支出对经济增长的贡献率高达60.5%,拉动国内生产总值增长3.0个百分点;而资本形成总额对经济增长的贡献率为25.6%,拉动了1.3个百分点的增长,表明内需已成为经济增长的主导力量。

### 消费市场稳步扩大,内需潜力释放

商务部的数据显示,今年上半年,社会消费品零售总额达到235969亿元,同比增长3.7%。其中,城镇消费品零售额增长3.6%,乡村消费品零售额增长4.5%,乡村市场消费增长快于城镇,显示出农村消费市场的活力和潜力。此外,以旧换新政策的实施,显著提升了汽车、家电等耐用消费品的销售量,其中新能源汽车零售量同比增长33.1%,成为消费市场的一大亮点。

### 重大工程项目建设加速,投资关键性作用凸显

在内需拉动下,重大工程项目加速推进,有效投资持续扩大。基础设施、制造业、绿色能源等领域成为投资的重点,政府投资的带动放大效应显著。一系列针对性、组合性强的政策措施,如优化营商环境、减税降费、提供金融支持等,为投资创造了有利条件,有效投资对经济的拉动作用进一步增强。

### 优化收入分配,扩大中等收入群体

为了进一步释放内需潜力,优化收入分配结构成为关键。通过增加居民收入,特别是扩大中等收入群体,提高居民消费能力,是促进消费持续扩大的重要策略。政策层面将加大对低收入群体的扶持力度,促进就业,增加劳动收入,同时通过社会保障体系的完善,提升居民消费信心。

### 结语

总体来看,中国经济在年中展现出强劲的内需增长动力,有效投资与消费市场相互促进,为经济的高质量发展注入了新活力。面对复杂多变的国内外环境,通过深化供给侧结构性改革,进一步优化政策环境,将有助于实现经济的平稳运行和持续增长。

英语如下:

### Mid-Year Economic Outlook: Ongoing Release of Domestic Demand Potential, Steady Expansion of Effective Investment

As China enters the midpoint of the year, various economic indicators show that the domestic demand potential continues to be unleashed, and effective investment is steadily increasing. These developments provide a solid foundation for a stable and positive economic trajectory. According to the latest data, the first half of the year witnessed a robust recovery in domestic demand, with final consumption expenditure contributing 60.5% to the growth of gross domestic product (GDP), driving a 3.0 percentage point increase. Capital formation, contributing 25.6% to the growth, boosted the economy by 1.3 percentage points, highlighting the pivotal role of domestic demand in economic growth.

### Steady Expansion of Consumer Markets, Ongoing Release of Domestic Demand Potential

Data from the Ministry of Commerce indicates that in the first half of the year, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 23.5969 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%. Among them, urban retail sales grew by 3.6%, while rural retail sales grew by 4.5%, showcasing the dynamism and potential of rural consumer markets. The implementation of the trade-in policy has significantly increased the sales of durable consumer goods such as automobiles and appliances. Notably, the retail sales of new energy vehicles grew by 33.1%, marking a highlight in the consumer market.

### Accelerated Major Infrastructure Project Construction, Key Role of Investment

Driven by domestic demand, major infrastructure projects have accelerated, with effective investment continuing to expand. Key areas such as infrastructure, manufacturing, and green energy have become the focus of investment, with government investment amplifying effects being evident. A series of targeted and comprehensive policy measures, including optimizing business environments, reducing taxes and fees, and providing financial support, have created favorable conditions for investment, further enhancing the driving role of effective investment on the economy.

### Enhancing Income Distribution, Expanding Middle-Income Group

To further unleash the potential of domestic demand, optimizing income distribution patterns becomes crucial. By increasing residents’ incomes, particularly by expanding the middle-income group, and enhancing consumer spending power, it is a pivotal strategy to promote the continuous expansion of consumption. Policies will focus on providing support to low-income groups, promoting employment, and increasing labor incomes. Simultaneously, through the improvement of social security systems, the confidence of residents in consumption is expected to be elevated.

### Conclusion

In summary, China’s economy is demonstrating strong growth driven by domestic demand in the midpoint of the year, with consumption and investment markets mutually reinforcing. This provides a new impetus for high-quality economic development. In the face of complex and changing domestic and international environments, by deepening supply-side structural reforms and further optimizing policy environments, it is expected to contribute to a stable and sustained economic operation and growth.

【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/07-28/10258830.shtml

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