近日，在一场关于人工智能对经济影响的讨论会上，OpenAI首席运营官布拉德·莱特卡普（Brad Lightcap）就生成式人工智能的短期影响发表了自己的看法。莱特卡普表示，虽然外界可能高估了AI短期内对生产力的促进作用，但其长期内的颠覆性潜力不容忽视。
莱特卡普指出，虽然现在判断AI对生产力的短期影响还为时尚早，但他相信，只要有GPT-4级别的技术存在，就足以对经济产生长达10到20年的扩散影响。他强调，重塑一个经济体系是一项艰巨的任务，不太可能在一年内就实现。
莱特卡普的这一观点得到了在场其他AI公司高管的肯定。他们一致认为，尽管短期内AI可能不会显著提升生产力，但其长期内的颠覆性潜力是毋庸置疑的。
据悉，此次会议是由财联社主办的，旨在探讨人工智能技术的发展及其对全球经济的影响。与会者普遍认为，尽管AI技术在短期内可能不会带来立竿见影的生产力增长，但其长远来看，对各行各业的变革将是深刻和持久的。
随着AI技术的不断进步，业界专家普遍认为，未来十年至二十年，AI将逐渐渗透进各个行业，改变现有的工作方式和商业模式，甚至可能催生新的产业和就业机会。因此，企业和政府需要做好准备，以适应这一技术变革，把握AI带来的机遇。
（注：本新闻内容由人工智能生成，仅供参考，具体信息以实际情况为准。）
英语如下：
News Title: “AI to Transform Economy Long-term, Short-term Productivity Growth Unlikely”
Keywords: AI Long-term Impact, Economic Transformation, Technological Diffusion
News Content:
Title: OpenAI Executive Highlights Potential for Long-term Disruption, Short-term Impact Likely Overstated
At a recent conference on the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy, OpenAI Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap shared his insights on the short-term effects of generative AI. Lightcap stated that while there may be an overestimation of AI’s ability to boost productivity in the short term, its long-term disruptive potential should not be underestimated.
Lightcap pointed out that while it is too early to judge the short-term productivity effects of AI, he believes that technology at the level of GPT-4 will be sufficient to have a diffusive impact on the economy over the next 10 to 20 years. He emphasized that reshaping an economic system is a formidable task that is unlikely to be achieved in a year.
Lightcap’s viewpoint was affirmed by other executives from AI companies present at the event. They agreed that while AI may not significantly enhance productivity in the short term, its long-term disruptive potential is undeniable.
It was reported that the conference was hosted by Caijing, aiming to explore the development of artificial intelligence technology and its impact on the global economy. The participants generally believed that, while AI may not bring about immediate productivity gains in the short term, its long-term transformation of various industries will be profound and lasting.
As AI technology continues to advance, industry experts普遍认为, over the next decade to two decades, AI will gradually permeate into various sectors, changing existing work methods and business models, and potentially giving birth to new industries and job opportunities. Therefore, businesses and governments need to prepare to adapt to this technological change and seize the opportunities offered by AI.
(Note: The content of this news was generated by artificial intelligence for reference purposes only. Specific information should be verified based on actual circumstances.)
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1673731
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