科技巨头埃隆·马斯克在X社交媒体上发表了一条引人深思的预测，他认为人工智能（AI）的智能水平将在明年超越任何一个个体人类，并在2029年将超过全人类的智慧总和。马斯克的这一言论出现在对未来学家Ray Kurzweil的一段视频节目的回应中。Kurzweil同样预测，AI将在2029年达到人类的智能水平，尽管目前这一目标尚未实现，但他坚信这一时刻将会到来。
马斯克的预测比Kurzweil的更为激进，他暗示AI的智能进化速度可能远超我们的预想。他指出，AI可能在不久的将来，即2023年，就能展现出超越最聪明人类的智慧。而到了2029年，AI的集体智能将超越地球上所有人类的智慧总和，这引发了全球对于AI发展的新一轮讨论。
马斯克和Kurzweil的预测，虽然在科技界引发了广泛的争议，但无疑强调了AI技术发展速度的迅猛以及对未来社会可能产生的深远影响。这一话题再次提醒公众和政策制定者，对于AI的监管和伦理问题需要提前布局，以确保科技的进步能够为人类带来福祉，而不是潜在的威胁。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Musk Warns: AI to Outperform Individuals in 2023, Match Collective Human Intelligence by 2029”
**Keywords:** Musk’s prediction, Artificial Intelligence, 2029
**News Content:**
Tech mogul Elon Musk made a thought-provoking prediction on the X social media platform, asserting that Artificial Intelligence (AI) will surpass the intelligence of any single human in the next year and exceed the cumulative wisdom of the entire human race by 2029. Musk’s comments emerged in response to a video featuring futurist Ray Kurzweil, who also predicts that AI will attain human-level intelligence in 2029, a milestone yet to be achieved but one he remains confident is imminent.
Musk’s forecast is more radical than Kurzweil’s, suggesting that AI’s intellectual evolution could outpace expectations. He indicated that as early as 2023, AI might demonstrate intellect surpassing that of the smartest humans. By 2029, the collective AI intelligence is projected to eclipse the cumulative wisdom of all humans on Earth, sparking a new round of global discussions on AI development.
While their predictions have stirred considerable debate within the tech community, they underscore the rapid pace of AI advancement and its potential profound impact on future society. This topic serves as a reminder to the public and policymakers that regulation and ethical considerations surrounding AI need to be addressed proactively to ensure that technological progress benefits humanity rather than posing potential threats.
【来源】https://www.yicai.com/news/102025297.html
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