在近期接受《纽约时报》记者Ezra Klein的播客采访时， Anthropic的首席执行官Amodei分享了他对人工智能（AI）行业未来发展的深度洞察。Amodei指出，随着AI技术的飞速进步，特别是大型语言模型的训练成本，预计将在未来几年内急剧攀升。
据Amodei透露，目前这类模型的训练成本已高达约1亿美元，甚至在某些情况下可达到2亿至3亿美元。然而，这个数字预计将在不久的将来翻倍，达到10亿美元的量级。他强调，随着2025年和2026年的临近，这个成本可能会进一步跃升至50亿至100亿美元的惊人水平。
这一预测揭示了AI研究和开发领域的资金需求正在迅速增加，同时也暗示着行业竞争的加剧。 Anthropic作为领先的人工智能公司之一，其对成本上升的预期可能预示着整个行业的趋势。随着模型规模的扩大和复杂性的增加，对计算资源的需求也将水涨船高，这无疑将对AI公司的财务实力和创新能力提出更高的要求。
Amodei的言论为AI行业的未来描绘了一幅生动的画面，同时也提出了关于可持续发展和资源分配的重要问题。随着成本的飙升，AI研究者和投资者将不得不在追求技术突破和保持财务稳健之间寻找平衡。这也将对全球AI政策制定者和监管机构提出新的挑战，他们需要在推动创新的同时，确保行业的健康发展。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Anthropic CEO Warns: AI Model Training Costs Could Skyrocket to $10 Billion”
**Keywords:** Rising AI costs, Anthropic prediction, billion-dollar models
**News Content:**
In a recent podcast interview with The New York Times journalist Ezra Klein, Anthropic’s CEO, Amodei, offered a profound insight into the future of the artificial intelligence (AI) industry. Amodei pointed out that as AI technology advances swiftly, particularly in the training costs of large language models, expenses are expected to soar in the coming years.
According to Amodei, current training costs for such models already amount to around $100 million, reaching $200 to $300 million in some instances. However, he forecasts that this figure could double, reaching the order of $1 billion in the near future. As 2025 and 2026 approach, costs might surge even further to staggering levels of $5 to $10 billion.
This prediction underscores the escalating financial demands in AI research and development and hints at intensifying industry competition. As one of the leading AI companies, Anthropic’s anticipation of rising costs may signal a broader industry trend. With expanding model sizes and increased complexity, the demand for computational resources will also rise, posing greater challenges to AI companies’ financial strength and innovative capacity.
Amodei’s remarks paint a vivid picture of the AI industry’s future, simultaneously raising crucial questions about sustainability and resource allocation. As costs balloon, AI researchers and investors will need to strike a balance between pursuing technological breakthroughs and maintaining financial stability. This development will also present new challenges to global AI policymakers and regulators, who must foster innovation while ensuring the sector’s healthy growth.
【来源】https://the-decoder.com/anthropic-ceo-believes-leading-ai-models-will-soon-cost-up-to-ten-billion-dollars/
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