特斯拉和SpaceX的创始人埃隆·马斯克近日在一次公开讲话中表示，他相信人工智能（AI）将在明年超越最聪明的人类。马斯克的这一预测基于对技术发展趋势的深入洞察，他认为2026年前，AI的能力将达到一个前所未有的高度。
据财联社报道，马斯克提及了一家名为xAI的公司正在研发的Grok 2.0项目，这一AI模型被寄予厚望，有望在性能上超越Open AI的知名语言模型GPT-4。xAI计划在接下来的五个月内完成Grok 2.0的训练工作，这将进一步推动AI技术的革新。
然而，马斯克也指出，当前AI发展的主要瓶颈是芯片短缺问题，这一问题已经对全球科技行业造成了影响。他预测，在未来一到两年内，随着AI计算需求的急剧增长，电力供应将成为制约AI发展的新挑战。马斯克的这一观点突显了在AI进步的同时，基础设施和能源供应的重要性日益凸显。
马斯克的言论再次引发了公众对AI技术进步速度及其潜在影响的讨论。随着AI能力的不断提升，如何平衡技术发展与资源供应，以及如何确保AI的伦理和安全问题，已经成为全球科技界和政策制定者亟待解决的课题。
英语如下：
News Title: “Musk’s Prognosis: AI to Outperform Top Humans by 2024, Grok 2.0 Poised for Dominance”
Keywords: Musk’s prediction, AI surpassing humans, Grok 2.0
News Content: Elon Musk, founder of Tesla and SpaceX, recently stated in a public address that he believes artificial intelligence (AI) will surpass the brightest human minds next year. This prediction is rooted in Musk’s profound understanding of technological development trends, with him forecasting that AI’s capabilities will reach unprecedented heights by 2026.
According to Caixin Global, Musk mentioned xAI, a company working on the Grok 2.0 project, an AI model anticipated to outperform Open AI’s renowned language model, GPT-4, in terms of performance. xAI aims to complete the training of Grok 2.0 within the next five months, contributing significantly to the advancement of AI technology.
However, Musk also pointed out that the main bottleneck in AI development currently is the shortage of chips, an issue that has impacted the global tech industry. He predicts that within the next one to two years, as AI’s computational demands surge, electricity supply will become a new challenge constraining AI development. Musk’s perspective underscores the growing significance of infrastructure and energy provision alongside AI progress.
Musk’s comments have reignited public discourse on the pace of AI advancement and its potential implications. As AI capabilities continue to grow, striking a balance between technological development and resource supply, and ensuring AI’s ethical and safety aspects, has become an urgent issue for the global tech community and policymakers.
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1640885
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