据中新经纬1月12日电（王永乐），我国国家统计局将于当天公布2023年全年及12月居民消费价格指数（CPI）。多家机构预测显示，12月CPI同比下降0.3%，将继续处于负值区间，但降幅收窄。这一结果可能意味着我国物价走势逐渐趋于稳定。
油价与菜价之间的波动被形象地比喻为跷跷板。近年来，国际油价波动较大，对我国物价造成一定压力。然而，随着我国经济的持续发展，菜价水平逐渐趋于稳定，对CPI的影响也相应减小。尽管如此，油价与菜价之间的互动仍将持续，对CPI的走势产生影响。
此次CPI预测下降可能与近期我国政策调整有关。为了缓解疫情对经济的影响，我国政府出台了一系列扶持政策，包括降低企业税费、提高失业保险金支付标准等。这些政策有助于降低企业成本，保障民生，从而使CPI保持在合理范围内。
展望未来，我国CPI走势仍面临一定不确定性。一方面，全球经济复苏有望带动我国出口增长，从而推动国内物价上涨。另一方面，我国政府将继续加大供给侧结构性改革力度，优化资源配置，稳定物价。
In recent years, the fluctuations in oil prices and vegetable prices have been metaphorically compared to a seesaw. Despite the steady development of China’s economy, the impact of vegetable prices on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has gradually decreased. However, the interaction between oil prices and vegetable prices will continue to affect the trend of CPI.
The predicted decline in CPI may be related to recent policy adjustments in China. In order to mitigate the impact of the pandemic on the economy, the Chinese government has introduced various support policies, including tax reduction for enterprises and increased unemployment insurance payments. These policies help to lower corporate costs and safeguard people’s lives, keeping the CPI within a reasonable range.
Looking forward, the trend of China’s CPI still faces certain uncertainties. On the one hand, the global economic recovery is expected to boost China’s exports, thereby pushing up domestic prices. On the other hand, the Chinese government will continue to increase the supply-side structural reform, optimize resource allocation, and stabilize prices.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/01-12/10144728.shtml
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