##美国大幅下修就业数据，美媒称此举动摇民众对美经济信心
**央视网消息：**当地时间8月21日，美国劳工统计局公布了非农就业数据基准修订初步估计，下调2023年4月至2024年3月期间的新增非农就业岗位总数，下修幅度为81.8万。本次的下修幅度是2009年以来最大的一次。
美国劳工统计局此前的数据显示，在2023年4月至2024年3月这12个月期间，美国新增非农就业岗位290万个。而美国劳工统计局21日公布的修订数据显示，这一统计周期内，美国新增就业岗位比之前预估的减少了81.8万个。这使得12个月统计期间的总就业增长（不包括农场就业）从此前预估的290万降至约210万，使该期间的平均每月净新增就业岗位减少了约6.8万个，从约24.2万降至约17.4万。
有分析指出，从这次下修可见，统计期间的美国就业增长可能“远没有先前报告的那样强劲”。美国经济学家克里斯·拉普基对此表示，本次修正不是美国“失去了这些就业岗位”，而是“就业岗位数量从来就没那么高”。
每年，美国劳工部统计局都会对其每月企业工资调查的数据进行修订，然后将3月份的就业水平与“就业和工资季度普查”测得的水平进行比较，对此前公布的数据进行修正。2023年4月至2024年3月统计周期的最终数据会在2025年2月发布。
**美媒：就业数据下修动摇民众对美经济信心**
对于本次非农就业数据的大幅下修，《福布斯》网站表示，此前的就业数据高估了美国近期劳动力市场的复苏，这是一个“潜在的令人担忧的迹象”，就业增长放缓动摇了人们对经济增长的信心。福克斯商业新闻网站21日报道，尽管官方数据没有表明美国经济陷入衰退，但是大量美国民众认为“美国正处在衰退中”，也不相信美国经济的乐观前景。
**媒体：数据下修引发对美国高利率环境担忧**
《华盛顿邮报》在报道中称，本次下修证明“美联储过于关注抑制通胀，进而对劳动力市场造成了损害”。路透社也表示，目前，公众的注意力已经转向长期高昂的借贷成本对劳动力市场的破坏。英国《金融时报》则表示，美国劳动力市场的疲软加剧了民众对美联储不及时削减借贷成本，而导致经济可能陷入衰退的担忧。
**分析人士认为，美国就业数据的大幅下修，反映出美国经济复苏的脆弱性，也加剧了市场对美国经济前景的担忧。美联储在未来货币政策的调整上将面临更大的压力。**
英语如下：
##US Employment Data Drastically Revised Down, Shaking Economic Confidence
**Keywords:** US employment revision, economic confidence shaken, data correction
**News Content:**
**CCTV News:** On August 21, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its preliminary estimates for benchmark revisions of nonfarmpayroll data, revising down the total number of new nonfarm jobs added from April 2023 to March 2024 by 818,000. This revision is the largest since 2009.
The BLS’s previous data showed that the US added 2.9 million nonfarm jobs in the 12 months from April 2023 to March 2024. However, the revised data released on August 21 showed that the US added 818,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated during this period. This reduced the totaljob growth (excluding farm employment) for the 12-month period from the previously estimated 2.9 million to approximately 2.1 million, decreasing the average monthly net job growth from approximately 242,000 to approximately 174,000.
Some analysts havepointed out that the revision shows that job growth during this period may have been “far less robust than previously reported.” US economist Chris Rupkey said that the revision doesn’t mean the US “lost these jobs,” but rather that “the number of jobs was never that high.”
Every year, the US Department ofLabor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics revises its monthly establishment survey data and compares March’s employment level to the level measured by the “Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages” to adjust previously released data. The final data for the April 2023 to March 2024 period will be released inFebruary 2025.
**US Media: Employment Data Revision Shakes Public Confidence in US Economy**
Regarding the significant downward revision of nonfarm payroll data, Forbes website stated that the previous employment data overestimated the recent recovery of the US labor market, a “potentially worrisome sign,” and the slowingjob growth has shaken confidence in economic growth. Fox Business News reported on August 21 that while official data does not indicate that the US economy is in a recession, a large number of Americans believe that “the US is in a recession” and do not believe in the optimistic outlook for the US economy.
**Media: Data Revision Sparks Concerns About High Interest Rate Environment in the US**
The Washington Post reported that the revision proves that “the Fed is too focused on curbing inflation, which has damaged the labor market.” Reuters also stated that the public’s attention has shifted to the damage that high borrowing costs have caused tothe labor market. The Financial Times said that the weakness in the US labor market has heightened concerns that the Fed’s failure to cut borrowing costs in a timely manner could lead to a recession.
**Analysts believe that the significant downward revision of US employment data reflects the fragility of the US economic recovery and has exacerbated marketconcerns about the US economic outlook. The Fed will face greater pressure in adjusting its future monetary policy.**
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2024/08-23/10273442.shtml
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