OpenAI联合创始人Andrej Karpathy最近在其博客中，以自动驾驶为例，深入探讨了AGI（通用人工智能）的未来形态。Karpathy表示，自动驾驶能力的发展，是研究AGI的一个非常好的早期案例。他认为，像Copilot和GPT-4这样的技术，代表了“二级”编程自动化。
他还预测，AGI的发展将会受到“需求超过供应”的限制。这种限制可能来自开发者的自我限制，监管限制，以及资源短缺，比如需要建设更多的GPU数据中心。Karpathy同时指出，在更广泛的工作领域中，许多工作将发生变化，一些工作会消失，但也会出现许多新的工作机会。这更多的是一种工作的重构，而不是直接删除。
自动驾驶作为AGI研究的一个重要案例，为我们揭示了AGI未来的可能性。虽然挑战重重，但AGI的发展是大势所趋，它将深刻改变我们的工作和生活。
英文标题：Autonomous Driving as a Glimpse into the Future of AGI
Keywords: Autonomous Driving, AGI, Future Forms
News content: OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy recently discussed the future of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) in the context of autonomous driving in a blog post. He believes that the development of autonomous driving capabilities is a superb early case study for research on AGI. Karpathy suggests that technologies like Copilot and GPT-4 represent a “secondary” level of programming automation.
He also predicts that the growth of AGI will be constrained by a “demand exceeds supply” scenario. This could be due to self-imposed limitations by developers, regulatory constraints, and simple resource shortages such as the need to build more GPU data centers. Karpathy notes that in a broader range of job fields, many jobs will change, some will disappear, but many new job opportunities will also emerge. This is more about a restructuring of jobs rather than a direct elimination.
Autonomous driving serves as an important case study for AGI research, revealing the possibilities of the future of AGI. While challenges abound, the development of AGI is an inevitable trend that will profoundly change our work and lives.
【来源】https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nfBwnGgTIj8SVO_N7zoesQ
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