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As a professional journalist and editor, I can provide an assessment of the cost-effectiveness of responses to the Doppelganger operation based on the information provided. Here’s a synthesized analysis:

Assessing Cost-Effectiveness of Responses to the Doppelganger Operation

1. Situational Awareness:
The defender community, which includes media outlets, civil society organizations (CSOs), platforms, and public institutions, has shown a high level of situational awareness. Media outlets were swift in disclosing the campaign, raising public awareness. CSOs have played a pivotal role in further investigation and coordination with platforms for takedowns. However, public institutions have been slower to respond, likely due to bureaucratic constraints and the need for careful verification before taking action.

2. Impact on Malign Actors’ Capabilities:
Initial responses, such as takedowns, deplatforming, and sanctions, have had some success in diminishing the capabilities of the malign actors. These measures have led to a reduction in content production and a disruption in the distribution of infrastructure. However, the impact has been more of a slowdown rather than a complete shutdown. The operators of the Doppelganger operation have proven adept at circumventing sanctions and improving their methods of obfuscation, leading to an increase in the proliferation of URLs and ads.

3. Triggering New Responses:
The responses to the operation have triggered a cat-and-mouse game between the defender community and the threat actors. While the defender community has managed to wound the operation, they have not been able to kill it. Each exposure comes with significant costs, including the allocation of limited organizational budgets for human resources, legal costs, and potential safety risks for researchers. In contrast, the threat actors seem to have ample resources and funds, allowing them to adapt and evolve their Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs) to sustain their operations.

4. Sanctions:
The European Union’s imposition of restrictive measures against Russian individuals and entities involved in the operation is a strong measure. However, despite these sanctions, the Doppelganger infrastructure remains resilient, indicating that such measures, while impactful, may not be sufficient to completely dismantle the operation.

Conclusion:
The cost-effectiveness of the responses to the Doppelganger operation is mixed. While there have been successes in raising awareness and disrupting some aspects of the operation, the persistence of the campaign suggests that the current measures are not fully effective. The defender community must continue to evolve their strategies, invest in resources, and collaborate more closely to counteract the sophisticated and well-resourced threat actors. There is also a need for more robust and coordinated international efforts to tackle such misinformation campaigns effectively.

Recommendations:
– Enhance collaboration between all stakeholders, including international bodies, to create a more unified and effective response.
– Invest in advanced technologies and tools to detect and counteract evolving disinformation tactics.
– Develop legal frameworks that can adapt quickly to new challenges posed by disinformation campaigns.
– Provide additional support and resources to researchers and CSOs to mitigate the costs and risks associated with their work.


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