美联储主席暗示9月降息，道指应声上涨
杰克逊霍尔，怀俄明州——美国联邦储备委员会（美联储）主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周五在杰克逊霍尔经济政策研讨会上发表讲话，暗示美联储将在9月的政策会议上降息。鲍威尔表示，通货膨胀率正在继续朝着2%的物价目标迈进，他对此信心增强，并认为“调整货币政策的时候已经到来”。
这一表态引发市场热议，被普遍解读为美联储结束两年多来持续加息的信号。自2022年3月以来，美联储已累计加息11次，旨在抑制高通胀。鲍威尔此次讲话表明，美联储认为抗击通胀的斗争已接近尾声，并准备转向宽松的货币政策。
尽管鲍威尔没有明确提及降息的幅度和频率，但表示这将取决于未来的数据等。市场人士普遍认为，降息将对经济增长和企业效益产生积极影响，并推动股市上涨。
周五的纽约股市应声上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数收于41175.08点，较前一个交易日上涨了462.30点。投资者对美联储即将降息的预期，以及对经济前景的乐观情绪，共同推动了股市上涨。
美联储的降息决定将对全球经济产生重大影响。一方面，降息将降低借贷成本，刺激企业投资和消费，推动经济增长。另一方面，降息也可能导致通货膨胀回升，并加剧资产泡沫风险。
市场将密切关注美联储在未来几个月内发布的经济数据，以及鲍威尔在9月政策会议上的讲话，以了解降息的具体细节和未来货币政策的走向。
英语如下：
Fed Signals Strong Rate Cut in September
Keywords: Federal Reserve, RateCut, September
Jackson Hole, Wyoming – Federal Reserve Chair JeromePowell hinted at a rate cut at the September policy meeting in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday. Powell expressed growing confidence that inflation is continuing tomove toward the 2% price target, stating that “the time has come to adjust monetary policy.”
This statement sparked market discussions and was widely interpreted asa signal that the Fed is ending its more than two-year-long tightening cycle. Since March 2022, the Fed has raised interest rates 11 times to combat high inflation. Powell’s speech suggests that theFed believes the fight against inflation is nearing its end and is ready to shift to a looser monetary policy.
While Powell did not explicitly mention the magnitude or frequency of the rate cut, he indicated that it would depend on future data, amongother factors. Market participants generally believe that a rate cut will have a positive impact on economic growth and corporate earnings, and will drive stock market gains.
The New York stock market surged on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing at 41,175.08 points, up 462.30 points from the previous trading day. Investor expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut, coupled with optimism about the economic outlook, drove the stock market rally.
The Fed’s rate cut decision will have a significant impact on the global economy. On the one hand, lower borrowing costs will stimulate business investmentand consumer spending, boosting economic growth. On the other hand, rate cuts could also lead to a resurgence of inflation and exacerbate asset bubble risks.
The market will closely monitor economic data released by the Fed in the coming months, as well as Powell’s speech at the September policy meeting, to gain insight into thespecifics of the rate cut and the future direction of monetary policy.
【来源】https://nwapi.nhk.jp/nhkworld/rdnewsweb/v6b/zh/detail/20240824_N01.json
Views: 2