据华尔街见闻报道,全球知名金融机构高盛的分析师团队Jan Hatzius近日发布研究报告称,人工智能(AI)技术的快速发展将对全球经济产生深远影响,预计全球范围内将有大约3亿个全职工作岗位面临“自动化”挑战。这一预测基于AI,尤其是生成式AI的潜力,该技术可能对劳动力市场产生重大冲击。
报告指出,目前美国约有60%的工作在某种程度上受到AI自动化的威胁,其中四分之一的岗位存在被生成式AI取代的风险。在欧洲,类似的趋势也正在显现,AI的广泛应用预示着劳动密集型职业的变革。然而,高盛同时强调,尽管AI可能导致部分岗位消失,但其在创新和效率提升方面的贡献也将创造新的就业机会。
高盛认为,AI驱动的“自动化”浪潮在短期可能会引发劳动力市场的动荡,但长期来看,这将是推动就业增长的主要动力。新的工作岗位将主要集中在AI技术的研发、应用和维护等领域,以及那些需要人类独特技能,如创造力、情感智能和复杂决策的领域。
这一报告提醒政策制定者和企业界,需要提前规划以应对AI带来的变革,包括投资于教育和培训,以确保劳动力能够适应新的就业环境。同时,也需要建立相应的社会保障体系,以缓解转型期间可能产生的社会影响。
英语如下:
News Title: “Goldman Sachs Report: Generative AI Set to Reshape Labor Market, 300 Million Jobs Face Automation Transformation”
Keywords: AI Automation, Job Impact, Employment Growth
News Content: According to a report by Wall Street Journal, the renowned financial institution Goldman Sachs’ team of analysts, led by Jan Hatzius, recently released a research paper stating that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technology will have profound effects on the global economy, with an estimated 300 million full-time jobs worldwide potentially facing an “automation” challenge. This projection is based on the potential of AI, particularly generative AI, which could significantly impact the labor market.
The report suggests that currently, about 60% of jobs in the United States are to some extent threatened by AI automation, with one-quarter of these positions at risk of being replaced by generative AI. In Europe, similar trends are emerging, as the widespread adoption of AI foreshadows changes in labor-intensive occupations. However, Goldman Sachs emphasizes that while AI may lead to job losses, its contributions to innovation and efficiency will also create new employment opportunities.
The bank believes that the AI-driven “automation” wave may initially cause disruptions in the labor market, but in the long term, it will be a key driver of employment growth. New job openings will predominantly emerge in AI research, application, and maintenance, as well as in areas that require uniquely human skills such as creativity, emotional intelligence, and complex decision-making.
This report serves as a reminder to policymakers and the business community to plan ahead for the changes brought by AI, including investing in education and training to ensure the workforce can adapt to the new employment landscape. Additionally, it highlights the need for establishing a supportive social safety net to mitigate potential social impacts during the transition period.
【来源】https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711779
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