高盛集团的分析师团队在最近的研报中提出，人工智能（AI）技术的发展预计将对全球经济产生深远影响，可能导致全球多达3亿个全职工作岗位面临自动化转型。Jan Hatzius领导的分析师团队警告称，随着生成式AI技术的潜力逐步释放，劳动力市场可能面临前所未有的冲击。他们分析指出，在美国，目前约有67%的工作在某种程度上受到AI自动化的威胁，预计生成式AI可能取代多达25%的岗位。
尽管这一预测引发了对就业前景的担忧，但高盛同时也指出，AI技术的广泛应用并不单纯意味着工作岗位的减少。相反，AI驱动的自动化很可能会创造新的就业机会，尤其是在创新和技术领域。高盛认为，这些新岗位将在很大程度上抵消因自动化而消失的职位，成为长期就业增长的关键驱动力。
这一观点呼应了对技术进步历史影响的普遍看法，即虽然短期内可能导致某些职业的消失，但长期来看，新技术往往会催生新的行业和职位，促进经济的持续发展。然而，适应这一变化的过程可能会带来阵痛，需要政策制定者和企业界共同努力，确保劳动力的顺利转型，并为受影响的工人提供再培训和教育机会。
英语如下：
News Title: “Goldman Sachs Report: Generative AI Set to Reshape Labor Market, with 300 Million Jobs Facing Automation Challenges and Transformation Opportunities”
Keywords: AI Automation, Job Positions, Economic Growth
News Content: In a recent research report, analysts at Goldman Sachs Group have suggested that the development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is expected to have a profound impact on the global economy, potentially automating up to 300 million full-time jobs worldwide. The team led by Jan Hatzius warned that as the potential of generative AI unfolds, the labor market could face an unprecedented upheaval.
Analysts estimate that in the United States, roughly 67% of current jobs are, to some extent, threatened by AI automation, with generative AI potentially displacing as much as 25% of positions.
While this forecast raises concerns about job prospects, Goldman Sachs also points out that the widespread adoption of AI doesn’t necessarily equate to a net loss of jobs. On the contrary, AI-driven automation is likely to create new employment opportunities, particularly in innovation and technology sectors. The bank believes that these new roles will largely offset those lost to automation, serving as a key driver of long-term employment growth.
This perspective aligns with the historical view that while technological advancements may lead to short-term job displacement, they often give birth to new industries and positions, fostering sustained economic development. However, the transition process may bring about temporary pains, necessitating a collaborative effort from policymakers and the business community to ensure smooth labor transitions and provide retraining and educational opportunities for affected workers.
【来源】https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711779
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