科技巨头埃隆·马斯克在社交媒体X上回应Midjourney创始人大卫·霍尔茨的帖子，表达了他对未来人形机器人发展的乐观预期。马斯克表示，如果人类文明的基础保持稳定，到20年后，地球上可能会有大约10亿个人形机器人。这一预测源于霍尔茨的设想，他预测在21世纪40年代，地球上的机器人数量将达到10亿，而到了60年代，整个太阳系将拥有1000亿个机器人，其中多数为外星机器人。
马斯克的这一观点与他对自己公司特斯拉的未来规划紧密相关。他曾经预言，特斯拉正在研发的“擎天柱”人形机器人最终可能会超越电动汽车业务，成为公司的重要增长点。马斯克期望在接下来的三到五年内将“擎天柱”推向市场，并且这款机器人将具备在各种环境中自主完成任务的能力。
这一预言引发了业界对人工智能和机器人技术发展的深度思考，同时也暗示了未来劳动力市场可能发生的巨大变革。随着机器人技术的进步，它们在日常生活和工业生产中的角色将日益增强，这既带来了效率提升的机遇，也带来了对就业结构影响的挑战。马斯克的预测无疑为全球科技和经济的发展设定了一条引人注目的路线图。
英语如下：
**News Title:** “Musk’s Prediction: 1 Billion Humanoid Robots to Inhabit Earth in 20 Years, Led by Tesla’s ‘Optimus'”
**Keywords:** Musk’s prediction, humanoid robots, Tesla Optimus
**News Content:**
### Musk’s Bold Forecast: 1 Billion Humanoid Robots Worldwide in 20 Years
Tech titan Elon Musk responded to a post by Midjourney founder David Hitz on social platform X, expressing his optimistic outlook on the future of humanoid robots. Musk stated that, assuming a stable foundation for human civilization, there could be approximately 1 billion humanoid robots on Earth in two decades. This prediction is rooted in Hitz’s vision, who foresees 1 billion robots on the planet by the 2040s, with 100 billion across the solar system by the 2060s, predominantly extraterrestrial robots.
Musk’s perspective aligns closely with his company Tesla’s future plans. He has previously predicted that the humanoid robot, “Optimus,” currently in development at Tesla, could eventually surpass the electric vehicle business as a key growth driver for the company. Musk aims to introduce Optimus to the market within the next three to five years, with the robot capable of autonomously performing tasks in various environments.
This prediction has sparked profound reflections within the industry on the development of artificial intelligence and robotics, and it hints at potential massive shifts in the job market. As robotic technology advances, their roles in daily life and industrial production will increase, presenting opportunities for efficiency gains while posing challenges to employment structures. Musk’s forecast undoubtedly outlines a captivating roadmap for global technological and economic development.
【来源】https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240122A018YH00
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