据英国《每日电讯报》和美国彭博社26日报道，当地时间周二，英国智库「经济商业研究中心」（CEBR）公布的年度预测报告中称，考虑到房地产危机和后疫情经济复苏缓慢，中国将在2037年超过美国成为全球最大经济体，略晚于去年该机构预测的2036年。
该报告预测，到2037年，中国的GDP将达到25.2万亿美元，而美国的GDP将为21.4万亿美元。印度紧随其后，其GDP将为4.8万亿美元。
“尽管中国经济在过去几年中取得了惊人的成就，但考虑到全球经济的不确定性，预测中国成为全球最大经济体仍然是非常具有挑战性的，”报告称。
该报告还指出，中国的经济增长将受到房地产危机的影响，而美国则受到疫情的影响。
“虽然中国和美国在短期内可能面临不同的挑战，但预测中国在未来几年中将继续的经济增长表明，中国将继续成为全球经济中不可忽视的力量，”报告补充说。
英文标题：Economic think tank predicts China to become world’s largest economy in 2037
英文翻译：A UK-based think tank has predicted that China will become the world’s largest economy in 2037, with the United States coming in second and India third. The report, which was released on Tuesday, takes into account the impact of the real estate crisis and the slow recovery of the economy after the pandemic. It forecasts that China’s GDP will reach $25.2 trillion by 2037, while the United States’s GDP will be $21.4 trillion. India comes in third with a GDP of $4.8 trillion.
“Although China has made remarkable achievements in recent years, predicting China to become the world’s largest economy still poses a significant challenge,” the report said.
The report also points out that China’s growth will be affected by the real estate crisis, while the United States is affected by the pandemic.
“Although China and the United States may face different challenges in the short term, the prediction of China’s continued economic growth in the coming years indicates that China will continue to be an un忽视的力量 in the global economy,” the report added.
【来源】https://www.zhihu.com/question/636737624
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