90年代的黄河路

##人民币对美元中间价上调79个基点,汇率波动或将持续

**中新网8月22日电**据中国外汇交易中心网站消息,中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布,2024年8月22日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价为:1美元对人民币7.1228元,上调79个基点。

此次人民币对美元中间价的上调,是继8月19日上调49个基点后的又一次调整,显示出近期人民币汇率走势趋于稳定。分析人士指出,近期人民币汇率波动主要受以下因素影响:

**一是全球经济复苏乏力,美联储加息预期持续。** 尽管美联储已暂停加息,但市场普遍预期未来仍有加息空间,这将继续对美元构成支撑,并对人民币汇率形成一定压力。

**二是国内经济稳步复苏,政策支持力度加大。** 中国经济持续恢复,消费需求回升,出口表现稳健,为人民币汇率提供了支撑。同时,近期一系列稳增长政策的出台,也增强了市场对中国经济前景的信心。

**三是国际金融市场波动加剧,避险情绪升温。** 乌克兰局势、美债收益率波动等因素,导致国际金融市场波动加剧,投资者避险情绪升温,对人民币汇率造成一定影响。

**展望未来,人民币汇率走势仍将受到多种因素的影响,短期内或将继续呈现波动态势。** 专家建议,投资者应理性看待汇率波动,避免盲目跟风操作,并注意防范汇率风险。

**中国人民银行将继续密切关注国内外经济金融形势变化,坚持市场化、汇率弹性机制,引导人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上保持基本稳定。** 同时,将继续完善汇率形成机制,加强预期管理,维护人民币汇率稳定,为经济高质量发展提供良好的外部环境。

英语如下:

##Here is the English translation of the provided information:

**Headline:**Yuan Midpoint Rate Rises 79 Basis Points, Reaching 7.1228 per Dollar

**Keywords:** Yuan, appreciation, midpoint rate

**Content:**

**The yuan’s midpoint rate against the US dollar rose79 basis points on Tuesday, August 22, reaching 7.1228 yuan per dollar, according to the China Foreign Exchange TradeSystem (CFETS).** This marks the second consecutive day of appreciation, following a 49-basis-point increase on August 19, suggesting a stabilizing trend in the yuan’s recent performance.

Analysts attribute the recentfluctuations in the yuan’s exchange rate to several key factors:

**Firstly, the global economic recovery remains sluggish, while expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve persist.** Although the Fed has paused rate increases, market sentiment anticipatesfurther tightening in the future, which would continue to support the dollar and exert pressure on the yuan.

**Secondly, China’s domestic economy is steadily recovering, with policy support intensifying.** The Chinese economy is experiencing a sustained rebound, driven by a resurgence in consumer demand and stable export performance, providing support for theyuan. Additionally, the recent implementation of a series of pro-growth policies has bolstered market confidence in China’s economic outlook.

**Thirdly, volatility in international financial markets has intensified, fueling risk aversion.** Factors such as the Ukraine conflict and fluctuations in US Treasury yields have contributed to increased volatility in global financialmarkets, prompting investors to seek safe havens, which has impacted the yuan’s exchange rate.

**Looking ahead, the yuan’s exchange rate trajectory will continue to be influenced by multiple factors, potentially leading to continued fluctuations in the short term.** Experts advise investors to maintain a rational perspective on exchange rate fluctuations,avoiding blind following of market trends and taking necessary precautions against exchange rate risks.

**The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) will continue to closely monitor domestic and international economic and financial developments, adhering to a market-oriented and flexible exchange rate mechanism to guide the yuan’s exchange rate to maintain basic stabilityat a reasonable and balanced level.** The PBOC will also continue to refine the exchange rate formation mechanism, strengthen expectation management, and safeguard the stability of the yuan’s exchange rate, creating a favorable external environment for high-quality economic development.

【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2024/08-22/10272717.shtml

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