在近期接受《纽约时报》记者Ezra Klein的播客访谈中， Anthropic公司的首席执行官Amodei分享了他对人工智能行业未来发展的一些深入见解。Amodei指出，随着人工智能技术的飞速进步，训练领先的人工智能模型的成本也将急剧增加。他表示，目前此类模型的训练成本已高达1亿美元，甚至在某些情况下可达到2至3亿美元的水平。
展望未来，Amodei预测这一数字将在不久后翻倍。他提到，目前正处于训练阶段以及计划于今年晚些时候或明年初推出的模型，其成本预计将接近10亿美元的门槛。更进一步，Amodei大胆推测，在2025年和2026年，这个数字可能会攀升至50亿至100亿美元的惊人区间。这一预测反映了AI研发领域的资金需求将持续膨胀，同时也揭示了这一前沿科技背后的巨额经济投入。
Amodei的言论为人工智能行业的资金需求提供了新的视角，也暗示了在技术进步的背后，企业与投资者将面临更大的财务挑战。随着AI模型规模的扩大和复杂性的增加，这种成本上升的趋势可能将成为行业的新常态。这不仅对 Anthropic 公司，也对整个AI领域提出了资金筹集和效率优化的新要求。
英语如下：
News Title: “Anthropic CEO Warns: AI Model Costs Could Skyrocket to $10 Billion”
Keywords: Rising AI costs, Anthropic prediction, billion-dollar models
News Content:
Title: Anthropic CEO Foresees Costs of Large AI Model Training Reaching $10 Billion
In a recent podcast interview with The New York Times journalist Ezra Klein, Anthropic’s CEO, Amodei, shared his insights into the future of the artificial intelligence industry. Amodei pointed out that as AI technology advances rapidly, the cost of training state-of-the-art AI models is set to escalate dramatically. He noted that the current price tag for such models already stands at $100 million, and in certain instances, can reach $200 to $300 million.
Looking ahead, Amodei predicts that this figure will double in the near future. He mentioned that models currently in training and scheduled for release later this year or early 2024 are expected to approach the $1 billion threshold. Going even further, Amodei speculates that between 2025 and 2026, the costs could surge into the staggering range of $5 to $10 billion. This forecast reflects the growing financial demands in AI research and development and underscores the substantial economic investment behind this cutting-edge technology.
Amodei’s comments shed new light on the funding requirements of the AI industry, suggesting that as technological progress continues, companies and investors will face greater financial challenges. With the expansion of AI model sizes and complexity, the upward trend in costs might become the new normal. This not only poses new fundraising and efficiency optimization requirements for Anthropic but also for the AI sector as a whole.
【来源】https://the-decoder.com/anthropic-ceo-believes-leading-ai-models-will-soon-cost-up-to-ten-billion-dollars/
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