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【中国日报4月19日电 记者 欧阳诗嘉、马清】奥纬咨询董事合伙人贝哲民(Ben Simpfendorfer)在近期接受中国日报的独家专访时强调,中国经济在全球经济版图中的地位至关重要,没有任何一个国家能够替代中国的角色。他表示,随着中国经济显示出企稳迹象,政策制定者有充足的依据在今年继续保持相对宽松的利率和信贷政策。

贝哲民指出,尽管中国设定的5%左右的经济增长目标在当前环境下确实存在一定的挑战,但考虑到中国经济的规模和深度,以及政策制定者的智慧和经验,实现这一目标并非不可能。他分析称,房地产市场作为中国经济的重要支柱,其稳定对于整体经济的健康发展至关重要。因此,适度的货币政策和信贷支持将有助于房地产市场的稳定,从而为经济增长提供有力支撑。

此外,贝哲民还提到,中国在推动供给侧结构性改革、增强内需、以及持续扩大开放等方面的举措,将为经济的长期增长注入新的动力。他认为,中国在全球供应链中的地位将继续巩固,这不仅有利于中国自身的经济增长,也将对全球经济的稳定和复苏产生积极影响。

综上所述,贝哲民对中国经济发展前景保持乐观态度,认为政策制定者有能力在应对挑战的同时,维持经济的稳定增长,进一步巩固中国在全球经济中的重要地位。

英语如下:

Title: “Ben Simpfendorfer: Chinese Economy Stabilizes, Easing Policies May Persist”

Keywords: Ben Simpfendorfer, Chinese Economy, Easing Policies

News Content:

**April 19, 2023, China Daily – reporters Ouyang Shijia, Ma Qing**

In an exclusive interview with China Daily, Ben Simpfendorfer, a董事合伙人 at Oliver Wyman, emphasized that China’s role in the global economy is indispensable, with no other country able to fill its position. He stated that as signs of stabilization emerge in the Chinese economy, policymakers have solid grounds to maintain relatively loose interest rates and credit policies this year.

Simpfendorfer pointed out that while China’s growth target of around 5% does pose challenges in the current environment, considering the size and depth of its economy, along with the policymakers’ wisdom and experience, achieving this goal is not implausible. He analyzed that stability in the real estate market, a key pillar of the Chinese economy, is crucial for overall healthy development. Hence, moderate monetary policy and credit support will aid in stabilizing the property market, providing strong backing for economic growth.

Furthermore, Simpfendorfer highlighted China’s efforts in promoting supply-side structural reforms, boosting domestic demand, and consistently expanding opening-up. These measures, he believes, will inject new momentum into the economy’s long-term growth. He anticipates that China’s position in global supply chains will continue to strengthen, benefiting not only its own economic growth but also contributing positively to global economic stability and recovery.

In conclusion, Simpfendorfer maintains an optimistic outlook on China’s economic prospects, confident that policymakers have the ability to address challenges while sustaining stable growth, further solidifying China’s pivotal role in the global economy.

【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gj/2024/04-20/10202386.shtml

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