在近期接受《纽约时报》记者Ezra Klein的播客采访时， Anthropic公司的首席执行官Amodei分享了他对人工智能（AI）行业未来发展的深入洞察。Amodei警告说，领先的人工智能模型的开发成本即将迎来急剧增长。目前，这些模型的训练成本大约为1亿美元，但这个数字可能会在不久的将来翻倍，甚至可能达到10亿美元的规模。
Amodei指出，随着AI技术的快速发展，特别是大型语言模型的训练，成本的增加是不可避免的。他表示，目前正在进行的项目以及计划在今年晚些时候或2023年初推出的模型，其成本已经接近10亿美元的门槛。他进一步预测，在2025年至2026年期间，这个数字可能会上升到50亿至100亿美元的惊人水平。
这一预测反映了AI行业的资金需求不断增长，同时也揭示了该领域竞争的激烈程度。随着模型复杂性的增加和计算需求的飙升，AI研发的经济负担正成为企业需要面对的关键挑战。这一趋势可能会影响整个行业的格局，促使企业寻求更高效、成本效益更高的解决方案，同时也可能推动新的创新和投资模式的出现。
Anthropic作为AI领域的领先公司之一，其CEO的这一言论无疑为行业敲响了警钟，预示着AI发展的下一个阶段将伴随着巨大的资金投入和技术突破。
英语如下：
News Title: “Anthropic CEO warns: AI model training costs could soar to $10 billion”
Keywords: Rising AI costs, Anthropic prediction, billion-dollar models
News Content:
In a recent podcast interview with The New York Times journalist Ezra Klein, Anthropic’s CEO, Amodei, shared his in-depth insights into the future of the artificial intelligence (AI) industry. Amodei cautioned that the development costs for leading AI models are poised to experience a sharp increase. Currently, these models’ training costs are approximately $100 million, but this figure is expected to double, potentially reaching as high as $1 billion in the near future.
Amodei pointed out that with the rapid advancement of AI technology, particularly in the training of large language models, the escalating costs are inevitable. He mentioned that ongoing projects and models planned for later this year or early 2023 are already nearing the $1 billion threshold. He further predicted that between 2025 and 2026, these costs could skyrocket to a staggering $5 to $10 billion.
This forecast reflects the growing financial demands in the AI industry and underscores the intensity of competition in the field. As model complexity increases and computational needs surge, the economic burden of AI research and development is becoming a key challenge for companies. This trend may reshape the industry landscape, pushing firms to seek more efficient and cost-effective solutions while potentially fostering new innovation and investment patterns.
As one of the leading companies in the AI domain, Anthropic’s CEO’s statement serves as a wake-up call, signaling that the next phase of AI development will be accompanied by massive financial investments and technological breakthroughs.
【来源】https://the-decoder.com/anthropic-ceo-believes-leading-ai-models-will-soon-cost-up-to-ten-billion-dollars/
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